Everest Group, Ltd.'s (NYSE:EG) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.6x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 18x and even P/E's above 33x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Everest Group has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Everest Group.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Everest Group would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 297% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 352% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 9.0% per year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 10% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it odd that Everest Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Everest Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Everest Group, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
You might be able to find a better investment than Everest Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:EG
Everest Group
Through its subsidiaries, provides reinsurance and insurance products in the United States, Europe, and internationally.
Undervalued established dividend payer.