Cautious Investors Not Rewarding AXIS Capital Holdings Limited's (NYSE:AXS) Performance Completely
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may consider AXIS Capital Holdings Limited (NYSE:AXS) as a highly attractive investment with its 9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been advantageous for AXIS Capital Holdings as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for AXIS Capital Holdings
Is There Any Growth For AXIS Capital Holdings?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as AXIS Capital Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 55% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 49% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 9.7% each year as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 10% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's peculiar that AXIS Capital Holdings' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On AXIS Capital Holdings' P/E
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of AXIS Capital Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for AXIS Capital Holdings with six simple checks.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if AXIS Capital Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.