Stock Analysis

Ambac Financial Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:AMBC) institutional investors lost 8.8% over the past week but have profited from longer-term gains

Published
NYSE:AMBC
Source: Shutterstock

Key Insights

  • Significantly high institutional ownership implies Ambac Financial Group's stock price is sensitive to their trading actions
  • A total of 11 investors have a majority stake in the company with 50% ownership
  • Past performance of a company along with ownership data serve to give a strong idea about prospects for a business

If you want to know who really controls Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE:AMBC), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. We can see that institutions own the lion's share in the company with 77% ownership. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

Institutional investors was the group most impacted after the company's market cap fell to US$677m last week. However, the 24% one-year returns may have helped alleviate their overall losses. But they would probably be wary of future losses.

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Ambac Financial Group, beginning with the chart below.

See our latest analysis for Ambac Financial Group

ownership-breakdown
NYSE:AMBC Ownership Breakdown March 14th 2023

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Ambac Financial Group?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Ambac Financial Group. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of Ambac Financial Group, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:AMBC Earnings and Revenue Growth March 14th 2023

Since institutional investors own more than half the issued stock, the board will likely have to pay attention to their preferences. Ambac Financial Group is not owned by hedge funds. The company's largest shareholder is BlackRock, Inc., with ownership of 15%. With 11% and 4.4% of the shares outstanding respectively, The Vanguard Group, Inc. and Repertoire Partners LP are the second and third largest shareholders. Furthermore, CEO Claude LeBlanc is the owner of 1.1% of the company's shares.

A closer look at our ownership figures suggests that the top 11 shareholders have a combined ownership of 50% implying that no single shareholder has a majority.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There is a little analyst coverage of the stock, but not much. So there is room for it to gain more coverage.

Insider Ownership Of Ambac Financial Group

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

We can report that insiders do own shares in Ambac Financial Group, Inc.. As individuals, the insiders collectively own US$17m worth of the US$677m company. Some would say this shows alignment of interests between shareholders and the board. But it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.

General Public Ownership

With a 21% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Ambac Financial Group. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Ambac Financial Group better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Ambac Financial Group (2 are a bit concerning) that you should be aware of.

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Ambac Financial Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis