Stock Analysis

American Financial Group's (NYSE:AFG) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

NYSE:AFG
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The board of American Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE:AFG) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of $0.71 on the 25th of October, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. Based on this payment, the dividend yield for the company will be 2.3%, which is fairly typical for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for American Financial Group

American Financial Group's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. However, American Financial Group's earnings easily cover the dividend. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

EPS is set to grow by 20.1% over the next year. If recent patterns in the dividend continues, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 79% which is a bit high but can definitely be sustainable.

historic-dividend
NYSE:AFG Historic Dividend October 5th 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2013, the annual payment back then was $0.78, compared to the most recent full-year payment of $2.52. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 12% per annum over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. American Financial Group has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 11% per annum. With a decent amount of growth and a low payout ratio, we think this bodes well for American Financial Group's prospects of growing its dividend payments in the future.

American Financial Group Looks Like A Great Dividend Stock

Overall, we think this could be an attractive income stock, and it is only getting better by paying a higher dividend this year. Distributions are quite easily covered by earnings, which are also being converted to cash flows. All of these factors considered, we think this has solid potential as a dividend stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for American Financial Group that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.