Baldwin Insurance Group (BWIN) Stock Overview
Operates as an independent insurance distribution firm that delivers insurance and risk management solutions in the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 1/6 |
| Future Growth | 5/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 2/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
BWIN Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$24.39 |
| 52 Week High | US$45.16 |
| 52 Week Low | US$15.88 |
| Beta | 1.15 |
| 1 Month Change | 24.06% |
| 3 Month Change | 14.83% |
| 1 Year Change | -45.24% |
| 3 Year Change | -2.28% |
| 5 Year Change | -10.00% |
| Change since IPO | 48.99% |
Recent News & Updates
Seeking Alpha • Jun 22
Baldwin Insurance: Go-Private Rumors Appear Credible
Summary Baldwin Insurance is exploring strategic alternatives, including a potential go-private transaction, following a 40% stock decline over the past year. BWIN’s capital-light model and advisor network appeal to private equity, but existing leverage at 4.3x and $220 million in contingent earnouts are key considerations. Deal economics support a $28.50–$30.00/share buyout, offering private equity a 7.7% year-one free cash flow yield and potential mid-teens returns. I view BWIN’s AI disruption risk as modest, with commercial insurance complexity and potential advisor productivity gains supporting a continued buy rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jun 22
BWIN: Share Repurchases And Earnings Power Reset Will Shape 2026 Outlook
The analyst price target for Baldwin Insurance Group has changed from $40.00 to $37.00 as analysts factor in updated fair value estimates, revised discount rates, and changes to revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Baldwin Insurance Group shows that several major firms, including JPMorgan, have revisited their fair value frameworks, which led to the latest price target reset.Analysis Article • Jun 17
Baldwin Insurance Group (BWIN) Stock Could Be 36% Below Fair Value After Recent Weakness
Baldwin Insurance Group (BWIN) stock has been under pressure recently, with the price near US$18.69 and declines over the past month and past 3 months raising questions about how investors should interpret the company’s fundamentals. See our latest analysis for Baldwin Insurance Group. Looking beyond the latest bounce, Baldwin Insurance Group’s 1 day share price return of 2.92% comes after a weaker patch. The 30 day share price return is down 6.64% and the year to date share price return is...
Narrative Update • Jun 05
BWIN: Margin Execution And Buybacks Will Support Upside Despite Cautious Street Tone
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Baldwin Insurance Group by a few dollars to $40. They cited slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, along with a modestly higher discount rate and a marginally lower future P/E, partly offset by expectations for stronger profit margins.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jun 22
Baldwin Insurance: Go-Private Rumors Appear Credible
Summary Baldwin Insurance is exploring strategic alternatives, including a potential go-private transaction, following a 40% stock decline over the past year. BWIN’s capital-light model and advisor network appeal to private equity, but existing leverage at 4.3x and $220 million in contingent earnouts are key considerations. Deal economics support a $28.50–$30.00/share buyout, offering private equity a 7.7% year-one free cash flow yield and potential mid-teens returns. I view BWIN’s AI disruption risk as modest, with commercial insurance complexity and potential advisor productivity gains supporting a continued buy rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jun 22
BWIN: Share Repurchases And Earnings Power Reset Will Shape 2026 Outlook
The analyst price target for Baldwin Insurance Group has changed from $40.00 to $37.00 as analysts factor in updated fair value estimates, revised discount rates, and changes to revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Baldwin Insurance Group shows that several major firms, including JPMorgan, have revisited their fair value frameworks, which led to the latest price target reset.Analysis Article • Jun 17
Baldwin Insurance Group (BWIN) Stock Could Be 36% Below Fair Value After Recent Weakness
Baldwin Insurance Group (BWIN) stock has been under pressure recently, with the price near US$18.69 and declines over the past month and past 3 months raising questions about how investors should interpret the company’s fundamentals. See our latest analysis for Baldwin Insurance Group. Looking beyond the latest bounce, Baldwin Insurance Group’s 1 day share price return of 2.92% comes after a weaker patch. The 30 day share price return is down 6.64% and the year to date share price return is...Narrative Update • Jun 05
BWIN: Margin Execution And Buybacks Will Support Upside Despite Cautious Street Tone
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Baldwin Insurance Group by a few dollars to $40. They cited slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, along with a modestly higher discount rate and a marginally lower future P/E, partly offset by expectations for stronger profit margins.Narrative Update • May 15
BWIN: 2026 Margin Execution And Buybacks Will Drive Earnings Quality
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Baldwin Insurance Group to $23 from $21, citing updated assumptions about discount rates, long-term profit margin potential, and a lower projected future P/E multiple. These changes reflect recent shifts in Street price targets and commentary on valuation, growth headwinds, and capital returns.Narrative Update • Apr 30
BWIN: Share Repurchases And Embedded Distribution Synergies Will Shape 2026 Earnings Power
Analyst price targets for Baldwin Insurance Group have been trimmed by $2 to $4 in recent research, as analysts factor in concerns related to AI, near-term organic growth headwinds, and updated views on valuation and longer-term growth potential. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Baldwin Insurance Group shows a mix of caution around AI related risks and near term organic growth, alongside pockets of clear optimism on valuation, execution and the medium term growth profile.
Narrative Update • Apr 16
BWIN: Future Returns Will Depend On AI Infrastructure Supporting Premium Resilience
Narrative Update Overview The analyst price target for Baldwin Insurance Group has been reduced by about $2.17 to $29.33. Analysts attribute the change to lower fair value estimates and updated margin and P/E assumptions following a series of recent target cuts from major firms.Narrative Update • Apr 02
BWIN: Share Repurchases And CAC Merger Synergies Will Drive 2026 Earnings Power
Narrative Update on Baldwin Insurance Group Analyst price targets for Baldwin Insurance Group are now clustering around $40, with recent research pointing to current valuation, the expected 2026 growth profile, and merger driven revenue synergies as key reasons for maintaining a constructive view, despite prior target cuts tied to AI related concerns and softer near term organic growth. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are leaning into a constructive view on Baldwin Insurance Group, even as some targets have been reset to reflect sector wide AI concerns and softer near term organic growth.Narrative Update • Mar 19
BWIN: Share Repurchases And CAC Merger Synergies Will Support 2026 Earnings Profile
Narrative Update: Analyst Price Target Reset for Baldwin Insurance Group The updated analyst price target for Baldwin Insurance Group moves from an implied fair value of $47.00 to $40.00. This reflects recent Street research that combines lower targets from some firms with continued positive ratings and an upgraded view on valuation and the 2026 growth profile.Narrative Update • Mar 04
BWIN: 2026 Pricing And Margin Trends Will Shape Earnings Quality
Narrative Update: Baldwin Insurance Group The analyst price target for Baldwin Insurance Group has been revised to $21 from $26, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, margins, and long term P/E assumptions as analysts weigh recent rating changes and commentary around valuation and the company’s 2026 growth profile. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Baldwin Insurance Group presents a mixed picture, with some firms highlighting upside tied to the company’s 2026 growth profile and others trimming expectations as they reassess revenue and margin trajectories.Narrative Update • Feb 18
BWIN: Future Returns Will Rely On AI Infrastructure Supporting Premium Resilience
Narrative Update on Baldwin Insurance Group Analysts have trimmed their consolidated price target for Baldwin Insurance Group from $33.38 to $31.50, reflecting a mix of recent target cuts and raises as they factor in sector wide AI concerns, expectations for slower organic growth and margin trends, as well as ongoing support from broader insurance and AI infrastructure demand. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Baldwin Insurance Group highlights a split view, with some analysts focusing on long term growth potential and others flagging valuation reset and execution risks tied to sector wide AI concerns.Analysis Article • Feb 10
The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:BWIN) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 32%
The The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BWIN ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by...Narrative Update • Feb 04
BWIN: Future Returns Will Rely On Execution In Organic Growth And Margins
Narrative Update on Baldwin Insurance Group The analyst price target for Baldwin Insurance Group has shifted modestly higher to $27. Analysts point to updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions as key inputs behind the change.Narrative Update • Jan 21
BWIN: Future Earnings Quality Will Hinge On Pricing And Margin Stability
Analysts have lifted their price target on Baldwin Insurance Group to about $27 from roughly $25, citing a refreshed view on revenue growth potential, profit margin expectations, and future P/E assumptions in light of the sector’s current focus on pricing, loss trends, reserves, and broker margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research has centered on how Baldwin Insurance Group is positioned across key insurance themes, including pricing, loss trends, reserves, and broker margins.Narrative Update • Jan 07
BWIN: Calm Catastrophe Season Will Support Stronger Earnings Profile Ahead
Narrative Update: Baldwin Insurance Group Analysts have nudged their price target on Baldwin Insurance Group up to US$48 from US$47, citing a calm Q3 catastrophe season and limited earnings impact from earlier macro uncertainties as key supports for their updated view. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the latest price target move as a reflection of steadier fundamentals and a cleaner near term risk backdrop for Baldwin Insurance Group.Narrative Update • Dec 17
BWIN: Future Performance Will Benefit From Calm Catastrophe Season And Earnings Resilience
Narrative Update on Baldwin Insurance Group The analyst price target for Baldwin Insurance Group has edged up from $47 to $48 as analysts cite a calmer catastrophe season and resilient earnings across U.S. insurance peers to support slightly higher valuation assumptions, despite mixed target revisions on the Street. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain divided on Baldwin Insurance Group, with some highlighting improving fundamental and macro backdrops, while others are dialing back expectations to reflect more tempered growth and valuation assumptions.Narrative Update • Dec 03
BWIN: Future Performance Will Benefit From Calm Catastrophe Season
Analysts have modestly revised their price target on Baldwin Insurance Group, with the blended target edging higher as updated models incorporate a calmer than expected catastrophe season and resilient earnings, even as some firms trim estimates to reflect more conservative profitability and valuation assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a mixed but generally constructive stance on Baldwin Insurance Group, with modestly higher price targets from some firms offset by more conservative revisions from others.Analysis Article • Nov 29
The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:BWIN) Soars 26% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward
The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BWIN ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has...Narrative Update • Nov 19
BWIN: Future Performance Will Benefit From Calm Weather And Resilient Earnings
Analysts have revised Baldwin Insurance Group's fair value estimate down to $33.63 from $36.13. They cite evolving views on sector outlook and updated financial forecasts as reasons for the adjustment.Narrative Update • Nov 05
BWIN: Future Performance Will Benefit From Stable Earnings And Calm Quarter
Baldwin Insurance Group’s analyst price target has been lowered from $38 to $36.13. Analysts cite recent changes in sector outlook and stable earnings in a calm quarter as key factors behind the adjustment.Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analyst Commentary Reflects Mixed Outlook and Modest Price Target Cut for Baldwin Insurance Group
The analyst price target for Baldwin Insurance Group has shifted down modestly, decreasing from $39.75 to $38.00 per share. This adjustment comes as analysts react to moderated revenue growth, profit margin compression, and recent industry trends.Narrative Update • Oct 08
Embedded Insurance And Medicare Demand Will Unlock Opportunities
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Baldwin Insurance Group from $41.38 to $39.75, citing slower expected revenue growth, decreasing profit margins, and recent negative sector trends as reflected in updated price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent street research offers a mixed outlook for Baldwin Insurance Group, reflecting both optimism and concern regarding the company’s future performance and valuation trajectory.Narrative Update • Aug 07
Embedded Insurance And Medicare Demand Will Unlock Opportunities
The downward revision in Baldwin Insurance Group's price target is primarily driven by a sharp decline in its future P/E ratio and an increased discount rate, resulting in a lower consensus fair value of $44.75. What's in the News The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.Analysis Article • Jun 26
With The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:BWIN) It Looks Like You'll Get What You Pay For
When close to half the companies in the Insurance industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S...New Narrative • May 26
US Business Formation And Tech Investment Will Redefine Insurance
Rapid growth in commercial insurance demand and robust client retention drive strong recurring revenue, margin expansion, and increased capital flexibility.Analysis Article • Feb 20
The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:BWIN) Not Flying Under The Radar
The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:BWIN ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.1x may not look like an...Analysis Article • Oct 11
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BWIN) P/S
When close to half the companies in the Insurance industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S...Analysis Article • May 26
Revenues Tell The Story For The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:BWIN) As Its Stock Soars 26%
The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BWIN ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price...Analysis Article • Mar 05
BRP Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BRP) 33% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors
BRP Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BRP ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 33% gain in the last month alone...Shareholder Returns
| BWIN | US Insurance | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 30.5% | 1.3% | -2.3% |
| 1Y | -45.2% | -4.1% | 21.2% |
Return vs Industry: BWIN underperformed the US Insurance industry which returned -6.6% over the past year.
Return vs Market: BWIN underperformed the US Market which returned 23.3% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| BWIN volatility | |
|---|---|
| BWIN Average Weekly Movement | 9.4% |
| Insurance Industry Average Movement | 4.0% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.7% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: BWIN has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: BWIN's weekly volatility (9%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 5,000 | Trevor Baldwin | www.baldwin.com |
The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. operates as an independent insurance distribution firm that delivers insurance and risk management solutions in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Insurance Advisory Solutions; Underwriting, Capacity & Technology Solutions; and Mainstreet Insurance Solutions. Its Insurance Advisory Solutions segment provides private risk management, commercial risk management, employee benefits, and Medicare insurance solutions for businesses and high-net-worth individuals, as well as their families.
The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| BWIN fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$3.35b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$45.41m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$1.62b |
1.5x
P/S Ratio-52.4x
P/E RatioIs BWIN overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| BWIN income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$1.62b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$1.13b |
| Gross Profit | US$491.93m |
| Other Expenses | US$537.34m |
| Earnings | -US$45.41m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -0.47 |
| Gross Margin | 30.30% |
| Net Profit Margin | -2.80% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 152.1% |
How did BWIN perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/23 04:09 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/23 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. is covered by 15 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Michael Zaremski | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |
| null null | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |
| Charles Lederer | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |