Stock Analysis

Is Spectrum Brands Holdings (NYSE:SPB) A Risky Investment?

NYSE:SPB
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:SPB) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Spectrum Brands Holdings

What Is Spectrum Brands Holdings's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of July 2022, Spectrum Brands Holdings had US$3.13b of debt, up from US$2.51b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have US$247.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$2.88b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:SPB Debt to Equity History August 22nd 2022

How Strong Is Spectrum Brands Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Spectrum Brands Holdings had liabilities of US$1.28b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$3.42b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$247.6m in cash and US$378.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$4.07b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's US$2.77b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Spectrum Brands Holdings shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (12.5), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.3 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. The silver lining is that Spectrum Brands Holdings grew its EBIT by 293% last year, which nourishing like the idealism of youth. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Spectrum Brands Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Spectrum Brands Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

While Spectrum Brands Holdings's net debt to EBITDA has us nervous. To wit both its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate were encouraging signs. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Spectrum Brands Holdings is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Spectrum Brands Holdings that you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.