Stock Analysis

Here's What To Make Of WD-40's (NASDAQ:WDFC) Decelerating Rates Of Return

NasdaqGS:WDFC
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Having said that, while the ROCE is currently high for WD-40 (NASDAQ:WDFC), we aren't jumping out of our chairs because returns are decreasing.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for WD-40, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.24 = US$80m ÷ (US$429m - US$96m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to May 2022).

Therefore, WD-40 has an ROCE of 24%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Household Products industry average of 14%.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the US Household Products industry.

roce
NasdaqGS:WDFC Return on Capital Employed October 13th 2022

Above you can see how the current ROCE for WD-40 compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering WD-40 here for free.

The Trend Of ROCE

Things have been pretty stable at WD-40, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last five years. This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. So while the current operations are delivering respectable returns, unless capital employed increases we'd be hard-pressed to believe it's a multi-bagger going forward.

Our Take On WD-40's ROCE

While WD-40 has impressive profitability from its capital, it isn't increasing that amount of capital. Since the stock has gained an impressive 65% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.

One more thing, we've spotted 2 warning signs facing WD-40 that you might find interesting.

High returns are a key ingredient to strong performance, so check out our free list ofstocks earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if WD-40 might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.