Ryman Healthcare Limited

OTCPK:RHCG.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.0b

Ryman Healthcare Valuation

Is RHCG.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RHCG.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RHCG.F ($2.61) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($4.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RHCG.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RHCG.F?

Key metric: As RHCG.F is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for RHCG.F. This is calculated by dividing RHCG.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is RHCG.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio5x
SalesNZ$687.56m
Market CapNZ$3.43b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does RHCG.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for RHCG.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.4x
NHC National HealthCare
1.6xn/aUS$1.9b
USPH U.S. Physical Therapy
2.3x8.9%US$1.4b
ARDT Ardent Health Partners
0.4x6.8%US$2.3b
CON Concentra Group Holdings Parent
1.5x5.6%US$2.7b
RHCG.F Ryman Healthcare
5x9.0%US$3.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: RHCG.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5x) compared to the peer average (1.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does RHCG.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Healthcare Industry?

31 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MCK McKesson
0.2x8.1%US$78.85b
CVS CVS Health
0.2x4.6%US$71.52b
COR Cencora
0.2x6.4%US$47.67b
CNC Centene
0.2x5.5%US$29.84b
RHCG.F 5.0xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies31PS012345+
31 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: RHCG.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5x) compared to the US Healthcare industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RHCG.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RHCG.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio5x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate RHCG.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RHCG.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.61
US$3.67
+40.5%
10.9%US$4.11US$2.95n/a5
Nov ’25US$3.10
US$3.87
+25.0%
10.9%US$4.34US$3.12n/a5
Oct ’25n/a
US$3.87
0%
10.9%US$4.34US$3.12n/a5
Sep ’25n/a
US$3.65
0%
13.3%US$4.20US$2.80n/a5
Aug ’25n/a
US$3.62
0%
13.3%US$4.17US$2.78n/a5
Jul ’25n/a
US$3.68
0%
18.2%US$4.44US$2.47n/a5
Jun ’25US$2.22
US$3.70
+66.7%
18.1%US$4.44US$2.47n/a5
May ’25n/a
US$4.42
0%
19.3%US$5.70US$3.14n/a5
Apr ’25n/a
US$4.63
0%
18.9%US$5.92US$3.26n/a5
Mar ’25n/a
US$4.63
0%
18.9%US$5.92US$3.26n/a5
Feb ’25n/a
US$4.85
0%
17.6%US$5.91US$3.34n/a5
Jan ’25US$3.62
US$4.85
+33.8%
17.6%US$5.91US$3.34n/a5
Dec ’24n/a
US$4.85
0%
17.6%US$5.91US$3.34n/a5
Nov ’24n/a
US$4.69
0%
18.1%US$5.82US$3.20US$3.105
Oct ’24n/a
US$4.68
0%
18.4%US$5.93US$3.26n/a5
Sep ’24n/a
US$4.86
0%
18.4%US$6.17US$3.39n/a5
Aug ’24n/a
US$4.86
0%
18.4%US$6.17US$3.39n/a5
Jul ’24US$3.95
US$4.86
+23.1%
18.4%US$6.17US$3.39n/a5
Jun ’24n/a
US$4.74
0%
19.0%US$6.07US$3.34US$2.225
May ’24n/a
US$4.60
0%
22.3%US$6.14US$3.00n/a5
Apr ’24n/a
US$5.02
0%
15.1%US$6.19US$4.07n/a4
Mar ’24US$3.40
US$5.42
+59.5%
10.8%US$6.24US$4.90n/a3
Feb ’24n/a
US$6.51
0%
27.0%US$9.27US$4.80n/a5
Jan ’24US$3.50
US$6.51
+85.9%
27.0%US$9.27US$4.80US$3.625
Dec ’23n/a
US$6.51
0%
27.0%US$9.27US$4.80n/a5
Nov ’23US$4.66
US$6.41
+37.7%
23.6%US$8.56US$4.75n/a5

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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