Stock Analysis

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Phreesia, Inc. (NYSE:PHR) After Its Second-Quarter Results

NYSE:PHR
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Phreesia, Inc. (NYSE:PHR) last week reported its latest second-quarter results, which makes it a good time for investors to dive in and see if the business is performing in line with expectations. Revenues of US$102m were in line with expectations, although statutory losses per share were US$0.31, some 12% smaller than was expected. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

See our latest analysis for Phreesia

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:PHR Earnings and Revenue Growth September 6th 2024

After the latest results, the 16 analysts covering Phreesia are now predicting revenues of US$419.2m in 2025. If met, this would reflect a credible 7.5% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Losses are predicted to fall substantially, shrinking 31% to US$1.20. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$420.3m and losses of US$1.29 per share in 2025. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment in the recent updates, with the analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for losses per share, even though the revenue numbers were unchanged.

The average price target held steady at US$29.13, seeming to indicate that business is performing in line with expectations. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Phreesia analyst has a price target of US$34.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$23.00. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. We would highlight that Phreesia's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 16% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 26% p.a. growth over the last five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 9.9% per year. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Phreesia is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts reconfirmed their loss per share estimates for next year. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$29.13, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Phreesia analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Phreesia you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.