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Nevro Corp. (NYSE:NVRO) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 27% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Nevro Corp. (NYSE:NVRO) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 60% loss during that time.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Nevro may look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x, considering almost half of all companies in the Medical Equipment industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 3.2x and even P/S higher than 8x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Nevro
What Does Nevro's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Nevro has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Nevro's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Nevro?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Nevro's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 4.6% gain to the company's revenues. Revenue has also lifted 17% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 5.4% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 10% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why Nevro is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Nevro's P/S?
Shares in Nevro have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Nevro's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Nevro that you need to be mindful of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Nevro might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:NVRO
Nevro
A medical device company, engages in the provision of products for patients suffering from chronic pain in the United States and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.