Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc.

NYSE:MD Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.8b

Pediatrix Medical Group Valuation

Is MD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of MD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

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Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Fair Value: MD ($21.86) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($37.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MD?

Key metric: As MD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MD. This is calculated by dividing MD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.3x
EarningsUS$162.19m
Market CapUS$1.84b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average76.1x
AVAH Aveanna Healthcare Holdings
25.5x21.66%US$1.9b
ADUS Addus HomeCare
22.9x15.20%US$2.0b
GRDN Guardian Pharmacy Services
97.9x33.18%US$1.7b
PRVA Privia Health Group
157.9x32.90%US$2.9b
MD Pediatrix Medical Group
11.3x1.17%US$1.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the peer average (76.1x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Healthcare Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CYH Community Health Systems
1.3x-106.07%US$423.00m
IDXG Interpace Biosciences
1.5xn/aUS$5.54m
IMTH AnTix Holdings
1.7xn/aUS$1.99m
MDCE Medical Care Technologies
3.7xn/aUS$1.02m
MD 11.3xIndustry Avg. 23.5xNo. of Companies9PE01632486480+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the US Healthcare industry average (23.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.3x
Fair PE Ratio16.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$21.86
US$22.67
+3.69%
8.32%US$26.00US$21.00n/a6
Jan ’27US$21.39
US$22.67
+5.97%
8.32%US$26.00US$21.00n/a6
Dec ’26US$24.08
US$22.67
-5.87%
8.32%US$26.00US$21.00n/a6
Nov ’26US$16.97
US$16.75
-1.30%
11.14%US$19.00US$13.00n/a6
Oct ’26US$17.00
US$16.58
-2.45%
11.34%US$19.00US$13.00n/a6
Sep ’26US$17.21
US$16.71
-2.88%
13.74%US$20.00US$13.00n/a7
Aug ’26US$11.98
US$17.14
+43.10%
14.09%US$21.00US$14.00n/a7
Jul ’26US$14.33
US$17.14
+19.63%
14.09%US$21.00US$14.00n/a7
Jun ’26US$14.15
US$17.14
+21.15%
14.09%US$21.00US$14.00n/a7
May ’26US$12.74
US$18.07
+41.85%
8.42%US$21.00US$16.00n/a7
Apr ’26US$14.51
US$18.36
+26.51%
6.94%US$21.00US$17.00n/a7
Mar ’26US$14.77
US$18.36
+24.29%
6.94%US$21.00US$17.00n/a7
Feb ’26US$13.98
US$16.36
+17.00%
9.06%US$19.00US$15.00n/a7
Jan ’26US$13.12
US$16.21
+23.58%
7.71%US$18.00US$15.00US$21.397
Dec ’25US$14.96
US$15.92
+6.39%
6.89%US$18.00US$15.00US$24.086
Nov ’25US$15.21
US$11.58
-23.84%
15.84%US$14.00US$9.00US$16.976
Oct ’25US$12.00
US$10.58
-11.81%
15.04%US$14.00US$9.00US$17.006
Sep ’25US$10.86
US$9.58
-11.76%
8.74%US$10.50US$8.00US$17.216
Aug ’25US$8.25
US$8.21
-0.43%
6.39%US$9.00US$7.50US$11.987
Jul ’25US$7.11
US$8.50
+19.55%
9.43%US$10.00US$7.50US$14.337
Jun ’25US$7.31
US$9.00
+23.12%
5.94%US$10.00US$8.00US$14.157
May ’25US$9.01
US$9.07
+0.68%
6.20%US$10.00US$8.00US$12.747
Apr ’25US$9.74
US$9.07
-6.86%
6.20%US$10.00US$8.00US$14.517
Mar ’25US$8.77
US$9.36
+6.69%
9.35%US$11.00US$8.00US$14.777
Feb ’25US$9.60
US$9.86
+2.68%
7.03%US$11.00US$9.00US$13.987
Jan ’25US$9.30
US$10.07
+8.29%
10.08%US$12.00US$9.00US$13.127
US$22.67
Fair Value
3.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/19 12:17
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/16 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. is covered by 28 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David ToungArgus Research Company
Matthew GillmorBaird
Matthew BorschBMO Capital Markets Equity Research