Stock Analysis

Investors Give Paragon 28, Inc. (NYSE:FNA) Shares A 27% Hiding

NYSE:FNA
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Paragon 28, Inc. (NYSE:FNA) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 67% loss during that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, Paragon 28's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Medical Equipment industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.2x and even P/S above 7x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Paragon 28

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:FNA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 24th 2024

What Does Paragon 28's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Paragon 28 has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Paragon 28.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Paragon 28?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Paragon 28's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 17%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 86% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 18% per year as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 10% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Paragon 28's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Paragon 28's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Medical Equipment companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

A look at Paragon 28's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Paragon 28 (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Paragon 28, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.