Stock Analysis

DaVita's (DVA) Index Departure Raises Questions About Investor Base and Strategic Direction

  • DaVita Inc. was recently removed from the FTSE All-World Index, prompting changes to how funds tracking this benchmark allocate DaVita shares.
  • This index exclusion may lead to adjustments by institutional investors and could influence the company’s investor base composition going forward.
  • We'll explore how DaVita’s drop from the FTSE All-World Index may affect its future growth outlook and market position.

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DaVita Investment Narrative Recap

To be a DaVita shareholder, investors need to believe that steady demand from an aging population and ongoing operational improvements can offset recent headwinds in patient volume and net earnings growth. DaVita’s recent removal from the FTSE All-World Index is unlikely to change the company’s underlying short-term catalysts, but it could modestly impact trading volumes by shifting the composition of its investor base. The main immediate risk remains persistently subdued treatment volumes, which continues to weigh on revenue and earnings expectations.

Among DaVita’s recent announcements, the Q2 2025 earnings report stands out. Revenue rose to US$3,379.53 million compared to the prior year, though net income was lower, echoing ongoing challenges in both operating margins and patient growth. These results provide direct context for the pressing questions about DaVita’s earnings resilience following benchmark index exclusion.

In contrast, investors should carefully consider how ongoing reimbursement pressures from CMS could further limit DaVita’s ability to...

Read the full narrative on DaVita (it's free!)

DaVita's outlook anticipates $15.0 billion in revenue and $970.4 million in earnings by 2028. This is based on expected annual revenue growth of 4.4% and an earnings increase of $134.1 million from the current $836.3 million.

Uncover how DaVita's forecasts yield a $153.50 fair value, a 18% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

DVA Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025
DVA Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025

Simply Wall St Community members offered three fair value estimates for DaVita ranging from US$150 to US$299.74 per share. While opinions differ widely, persistent challenges with treatment volume growth mean many are closely watching the company’s revenue trajectory and future cash flow potential.

Explore 3 other fair value estimates on DaVita - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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