Stock Analysis

Here's Why Cencora (NYSE:COR) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

NYSE:COR
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Cencora, Inc. (NYSE:COR) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Cencora

What Is Cencora's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Cencora had debt of US$4.73b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from US$5.02b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$3.31b, its net debt is less, at about US$1.42b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:COR Debt to Equity History September 18th 2024

How Strong Is Cencora's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Cencora had liabilities of US$53.0b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$12.7b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$3.31b as well as receivables valued at US$24.1b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$38.3b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its very significant market capitalization of US$47.3b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Cencora's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Cencora's net debt is only 0.35 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 14.8 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Also good is that Cencora grew its EBIT at 16% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Cencora can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Cencora actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

Cencora's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. We would also note that Healthcare industry companies like Cencora commonly do use debt without problems. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Cencora is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Cencora that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.