Concentra Group Holdings Parent Valuation

Is CON undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CON when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CON ($20.08) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($39.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CON is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CON?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for CON. This is calculated by dividing CON's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is CON's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	US$2.54b

CON key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	2.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	11.9x
PEG Ratio	3.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CON's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CON vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	20.2x
ARDT Ardent Health Partners	29.2x	30.3%	US$2.5b
NHC National HealthCare	20.1x	n/a	US$1.8b
SEM Select Medical Holdings	17.5x	5.7%	US$4.7b
ACHC Acadia Healthcare Company	13.9x	13.0%	US$3.9b
CON Concentra Group Holdings Parent	14.7x	4.4%	US$2.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CON is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x) compared to the peer average (20.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CON's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Healthcare Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	20.1%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	20.1%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CON is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x) compared to the US Healthcare industry average (23.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CON's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CON PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	14.7x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CON's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CON forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	US$20.22	US$28.38 +40.3%	8.3%	US$33.00	US$24.00	n/a	8
Oct ’25	US$21.74	US$29.69 +36.6%	6.4%	US$33.00	US$27.00	n/a	8
Sep ’25	US$24.45	US$29.69 +21.4%	6.4%	US$33.00	US$27.00	n/a	8

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.