Cigna Group Valuation

Is CI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CI ($282.41) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($1758.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CI?

Key metric: As CI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CI. This is calculated by dividing CI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.8x
EarningsUS$3.04b
Market CapUS$73.87b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.4x
CVS CVS Health
11.4x18.7%US$55.4b
LH Labcorp Holdings
43.5x21.9%US$19.3b
DGX Quest Diagnostics
20.1x11.7%US$17.4b
DVA DaVita
14.5x4.3%US$12.1b
CI Cigna Group
25.8x24.2%US$73.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.8x) compared to the peer average (22.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Healthcare Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
THC Tenet Healthcare
3.9x-39.2%US$12.61b
NEUE NeueHealth
1.2xn/aUS$33.43m
IDXG Interpace Biosciences
2.2xn/aUS$12.11m
FZMD Fuse Medical
2.2xn/aUS$8.67m
CI 25.8xIndustry Avg. 21.6xNo. of Companies11PE01632486480+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.8x) compared to the US Healthcare industry average (21.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.8x
Fair PE Ratio44.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$282.41
US$396.77
+40.5%
5.2%US$438.00US$344.78n/a24
Dec ’25US$337.80
US$399.00
+18.1%
4.4%US$438.00US$360.00n/a24
Nov ’25US$316.49
US$397.84
+25.7%
4.6%US$438.00US$355.00n/a24
Oct ’25US$348.09
US$398.29
+14.4%
4.9%US$438.00US$355.00n/a24
Sep ’25US$361.81
US$395.86
+9.4%
4.8%US$438.00US$355.00n/a24
Aug ’25US$332.60
US$394.36
+18.6%
5.1%US$435.00US$349.00n/a24
Jul ’25US$326.27
US$392.79
+20.4%
5.2%US$435.00US$349.00n/a25
Jun ’25US$344.62
US$392.04
+13.8%
5.4%US$435.00US$349.00n/a23
May ’25US$357.18
US$381.44
+6.8%
7.2%US$432.00US$292.10n/a23
Apr ’25US$364.08
US$376.83
+3.5%
6.5%US$410.00US$292.10n/a23
Mar ’25US$332.96
US$369.10
+10.9%
6.3%US$400.00US$292.10n/a21
Feb ’25US$307.32
US$355.20
+15.6%
6.1%US$385.00US$292.10n/a21
Jan ’25US$299.45
US$348.91
+16.5%
6.4%US$385.00US$292.10n/a21
Dec ’24US$269.02
US$350.00
+30.1%
5.5%US$385.00US$321.00US$337.8021
Nov ’24US$309.41
US$335.18
+8.3%
7.7%US$385.00US$287.00US$316.4922
Oct ’24US$286.07
US$334.87
+17.1%
8.0%US$385.00US$287.00US$348.0923
Sep ’24US$276.67
US$335.17
+21.1%
8.4%US$385.00US$287.00US$361.8124
Aug ’24US$295.64
US$328.04
+11.0%
9.4%US$385.00US$284.00US$332.6024
Jul ’24US$280.60
US$328.08
+16.9%
10.2%US$385.00US$284.00US$326.2724
Jun ’24US$253.39
US$327.96
+29.4%
10.4%US$385.00US$284.00US$344.6224
May ’24US$254.90
US$346.52
+35.9%
7.9%US$385.00US$285.00US$357.1823
Apr ’24US$255.53
US$351.48
+37.5%
6.1%US$385.00US$309.00US$364.0823
Mar ’24US$288.75
US$352.39
+22.0%
5.9%US$385.00US$309.00US$332.9623
Feb ’24US$313.28
US$359.82
+14.9%
4.6%US$385.00US$321.00US$307.3222
Jan ’24US$331.34
US$357.41
+7.9%
4.4%US$385.00US$321.00US$299.4522
Dec ’23US$323.45
US$354.67
+9.7%
5.7%US$385.00US$295.00US$269.0221

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 22:40
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

The Cigna Group is covered by 48 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Hua HaBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research