Cigna Group Valuation

Is CI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CI ($322.45) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($1683.97)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CI?

Key metric: As CI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CI. This is calculated by dividing CI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio29.4x
EarningsUS$3.04b
Market CapUS$89.43b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.3x
CVS CVS Health
14.1x17.5%US$66.9b
LH Labcorp Holdings
45.8x20.5%US$19.7b
DGX Quest Diagnostics
21.6x11.7%US$17.9b
DVA DaVita
15.6x4.3%US$13.1b
CI Cigna Group
29.5x24.4%US$89.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.5x) compared to the peer average (24.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Healthcare Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
THC Tenet Healthcare
4.7x-39.2%US$14.77b
NEUE NeueHealth
1.5xn/aUS$41.27m
AMS American Shared Hospital Services
4.9xn/aUS$19.37m
IDXG Interpace Biosciences
2.5xn/aUS$12.54m
CI 29.4xIndustry Avg. 25.1xNo. of Companies11PE020406080100+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.5x) compared to the US Healthcare industry average (25.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29.4x
Fair PE Ratio47.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$322.45
US$399.00
+23.7%
4.4%US$438.00US$360.00n/a24
Nov ’25US$316.49
US$397.84
+25.7%
4.6%US$438.00US$355.00n/a24
Oct ’25US$348.09
US$398.29
+14.4%
4.9%US$438.00US$355.00n/a24
Sep ’25US$361.81
US$395.86
+9.4%
4.8%US$438.00US$355.00n/a24
Aug ’25US$332.60
US$394.36
+18.6%
5.1%US$435.00US$349.00n/a24
Jul ’25US$326.27
US$392.79
+20.4%
5.2%US$435.00US$349.00n/a25
Jun ’25US$344.62
US$392.04
+13.8%
5.4%US$435.00US$349.00n/a23
May ’25US$357.18
US$381.44
+6.8%
7.2%US$432.00US$292.10n/a23
Apr ’25US$364.08
US$376.83
+3.5%
6.5%US$410.00US$292.10n/a23
Mar ’25US$332.96
US$369.10
+10.9%
6.3%US$400.00US$292.10n/a21
Feb ’25US$307.32
US$355.20
+15.6%
6.1%US$385.00US$292.10n/a21
Jan ’25US$299.45
US$348.91
+16.5%
6.4%US$385.00US$292.10n/a21
Dec ’24US$269.02
US$350.00
+30.1%
5.5%US$385.00US$321.00n/a21
Nov ’24US$309.41
US$335.18
+8.3%
7.7%US$385.00US$287.00US$316.4922
Oct ’24US$286.07
US$334.87
+17.1%
8.0%US$385.00US$287.00US$348.0923
Sep ’24US$276.67
US$335.17
+21.1%
8.4%US$385.00US$287.00US$361.8124
Aug ’24US$295.64
US$328.04
+11.0%
9.4%US$385.00US$284.00US$332.6024
Jul ’24US$280.60
US$328.08
+16.9%
10.2%US$385.00US$284.00US$326.2724
Jun ’24US$253.39
US$327.96
+29.4%
10.4%US$385.00US$284.00US$344.6224
May ’24US$254.90
US$346.52
+35.9%
7.9%US$385.00US$285.00US$357.1823
Apr ’24US$255.53
US$351.48
+37.5%
6.1%US$385.00US$309.00US$364.0823
Mar ’24US$288.75
US$352.39
+22.0%
5.9%US$385.00US$309.00US$332.9623
Feb ’24US$313.28
US$359.82
+14.9%
4.6%US$385.00US$321.00US$307.3222
Jan ’24US$331.34
US$357.41
+7.9%
4.4%US$385.00US$321.00US$299.4522
Dec ’23US$323.45
US$354.67
+9.7%
5.7%US$385.00US$295.00US$269.0221
Nov ’23US$325.12
US$314.50
-3.3%
5.0%US$340.00US$277.00US$309.4122

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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