DaVita Valuation

Is DVA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DVA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DVA ($132.74) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($322.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DVA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DVA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DVA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.3x
PEG Ratio2.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DVA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DVA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.4x
CHE Chemed
34.3x-14.2%US$9.3b
DGX Quest Diagnostics
18.1x8.9%US$15.2b
LH Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings
46.1x24.4%US$17.5b
OPCH Option Care Health
19.1x-1.0%US$5.3b
DVA DaVita
16.8x6.4%US$11.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DVA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x) compared to the peer average (29.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DVA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Healthcare Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DVA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x) compared to the US Healthcare industry average (25.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DVA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DVA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.8x
Fair PE Ratio34.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DVA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DVA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$132.74
US$130.59
-1.6%
5.9%US$145.00US$119.80n/a9
Apr ’25US$137.84
US$130.59
-5.3%
5.9%US$145.00US$119.80n/a9
Mar ’25US$126.92
US$128.41
+1.2%
6.7%US$145.00US$119.80n/a8
Feb ’25US$112.23
US$108.38
-3.4%
8.6%US$120.00US$90.00n/a8
Jan ’25US$104.76
US$105.38
+0.6%
7.2%US$115.00US$90.00n/a8
Dec ’24US$104.31
US$104.38
+0.06%
6.5%US$113.00US$90.00n/a8
Nov ’24US$77.44
US$110.88
+43.2%
11.2%US$142.00US$100.00n/a8
Oct ’24US$94.53
US$113.75
+20.3%
10.4%US$142.00US$100.00n/a8
Sep ’24US$102.99
US$114.25
+10.9%
10.1%US$142.00US$100.00n/a8
Aug ’24US$102.39
US$104.88
+2.4%
6.5%US$115.00US$96.00n/a8
Jul ’24US$100.47
US$103.00
+2.5%
5.6%US$113.00US$96.00n/a8
Jun ’24US$94.71
US$99.99
+5.6%
7.8%US$113.00US$84.90n/a8
May ’24US$90.39
US$90.36
-0.03%
7.8%US$108.00US$84.90n/a8
Apr ’24US$81.11
US$88.24
+8.8%
10.0%US$108.00US$74.00US$137.848
Mar ’24US$82.33
US$88.83
+7.9%
11.4%US$108.00US$74.00US$126.926
Feb ’24US$84.81
US$82.33
-2.9%
14.7%US$108.00US$72.00US$112.236
Jan ’24US$74.67
US$80.83
+8.3%
15.3%US$108.00US$72.00US$104.766
Dec ’23US$73.23
US$80.83
+10.4%
15.3%US$108.00US$72.00US$104.316
Nov ’23US$69.87
US$83.57
+19.6%
14.6%US$108.00US$72.00US$77.447
Oct ’23US$82.77
US$101.14
+22.2%
10.4%US$117.00US$90.00US$94.537
Sep ’23US$86.93
US$101.14
+16.3%
10.4%US$117.00US$90.00US$102.997
Aug ’23US$84.85
US$109.14
+28.6%
20.9%US$150.00US$80.00US$102.397
Jul ’23US$83.11
US$109.14
+31.3%
20.9%US$150.00US$80.00US$100.477
Jun ’23US$95.40
US$118.25
+24.0%
11.3%US$150.00US$109.00US$94.718
May ’23US$108.37
US$125.25
+15.6%
8.5%US$150.00US$112.00US$90.398
Apr ’23US$114.15
US$125.25
+9.7%
8.5%US$150.00US$112.00US$81.118

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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