Chemed Valuation

Is CHE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CHE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CHE ($554.87) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($756.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CHE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CHE?

Key metric: As CHE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CHE. This is calculated by dividing CHE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CHE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio27.5x
EarningsUS$301.73m
Market CapUS$8.33b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CHE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CHE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.4x
DVA DaVita
15.6x4.3%US$13.1b
CRVL CorVel
74.8xn/aUS$5.9b
DGX Quest Diagnostics
21.6x11.7%US$17.9b
OPCH Option Care Health
17.7x4.4%US$3.7b
CHE Chemed
27.5x8.8%US$8.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CHE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.5x) compared to the peer average (32.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CHE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Healthcare Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
THC Tenet Healthcare
4.7x-39.2%US$14.77b
NEUE NeueHealth
1.5xn/aUS$41.27m
AMS American Shared Hospital Services
4.9xn/aUS$19.37m
IDXG Interpace Biosciences
2.5xn/aUS$12.54m
CHE 27.5xIndustry Avg. 25.2xNo. of Companies11PE020406080100+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CHE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.5x) compared to the US Healthcare industry average (25.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CHE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CHE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.5x
Fair PE Ratio25.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CHE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CHE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$554.87
US$663.67
+19.6%
4.8%US$708.00US$633.00n/a3
Nov ’25US$531.68
US$685.00
+28.8%
3.7%US$708.00US$650.00n/a3
Oct ’25US$592.79
US$685.00
+15.6%
3.7%US$708.00US$650.00n/a3
Sep ’25US$586.17
US$685.00
+16.9%
3.7%US$708.00US$650.00n/a3
Aug ’25US$588.44
US$685.00
+16.4%
3.7%US$708.00US$650.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$539.54
US$685.00
+27.0%
3.7%US$708.00US$650.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$554.37
US$685.00
+23.6%
3.7%US$708.00US$650.00n/a3
May ’25US$566.10
US$688.75
+21.7%
3.6%US$712.00US$650.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$640.63
US$690.00
+7.7%
4.1%US$712.00US$650.00n/a3
Mar ’25US$613.81
US$654.00
+6.5%
6.5%US$708.00US$604.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$598.18
US$624.67
+4.4%
6.3%US$680.00US$590.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$584.75
US$624.67
+6.8%
6.3%US$680.00US$590.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$566.65
US$611.33
+7.9%
3.4%US$640.00US$590.00n/a3
Nov ’24US$576.00
US$611.33
+6.1%
3.4%US$640.00US$590.00US$531.683
Oct ’24US$519.70
US$592.00
+13.9%
2.4%US$610.00US$576.00US$592.793
Sep ’24US$512.49
US$592.00
+15.5%
2.4%US$610.00US$576.00US$586.173
Aug ’24US$520.99
US$592.00
+13.6%
2.4%US$610.00US$576.00US$588.443
Apr ’24US$537.75
US$585.67
+8.9%
0.7%US$590.00US$580.00US$640.633
Mar ’24US$524.40
US$585.67
+11.7%
0.7%US$590.00US$580.00US$613.813
Feb ’24US$511.50
US$566.67
+10.8%
2.7%US$580.00US$545.00US$598.183
Jan ’24US$510.43
US$566.67
+11.0%
2.7%US$580.00US$545.00US$584.753
Dec ’23US$519.02
US$566.67
+9.2%
2.7%US$580.00US$545.00US$566.653
Nov ’23US$476.93
US$565.33
+18.5%
3.1%US$580.00US$541.00US$576.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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