Amedisys Valuation

Is AMED undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AMED when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AMED ($90) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($136.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMED is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AMED?

Key metric: As AMED is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AMED. This is calculated by dividing AMED's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AMED's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio35.5x
EarningsUS$82.93m
Market CapUS$2.95b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AMED's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AMED vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average64.8x
OPCH Option Care Health
17.8x4.4%US$3.7b
ADUS Addus HomeCare
29.3x19.1%US$2.2b
PINC Premier
14.5x-22.3%US$2.1b
PRVA Privia Health Group
197.5x39.0%US$2.5b
AMED Amedisys
35.5x38.7%US$2.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AMED is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.5x) compared to the peer average (64.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AMED's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Healthcare Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NEUE NeueHealth
1.5xn/aUS$40.77m
IDXG Interpace Biosciences
2.4xn/aUS$11.77m
FZMD Fuse Medical
1.1xn/aUS$4.22m
No more companies available in this PE range
AMED 35.5xIndustry Avg. 25.2xNo. of Companies13PE01632486480+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AMED is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.5x) compared to the US Healthcare industry average (25.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AMED's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AMED PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35.5x
Fair PE Ratio37.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AMED is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AMED forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$90.00
US$96.33
+7.0%
10.8%US$101.00US$73.00n/a6
Nov ’25US$95.49
US$97.00
+1.6%
10.1%US$101.00US$73.00n/a7
Oct ’25US$95.85
US$97.38
+1.6%
9.5%US$101.00US$73.00n/a8
Sep ’25US$98.01
US$97.78
-0.2%
9.0%US$101.00US$73.00n/a9
Aug ’25US$98.08
US$97.78
-0.3%
9.0%US$101.00US$73.00n/a9
Jul ’25US$96.68
US$97.78
+1.1%
9.0%US$101.00US$73.00n/a9
Jun ’25US$91.15
US$97.78
+7.3%
9.0%US$101.00US$73.00n/a9
May ’25US$91.89
US$97.78
+6.4%
9.0%US$101.00US$73.00n/a9
Apr ’25US$92.42
US$97.78
+5.8%
9.0%US$101.00US$73.00n/a9
Mar ’25US$93.34
US$97.00
+3.9%
10.1%US$101.00US$73.00n/a7
Feb ’25US$94.39
US$97.00
+2.8%
10.1%US$101.00US$73.00n/a7
Jan ’25US$95.06
US$97.00
+2.0%
10.1%US$101.00US$73.00n/a7
Dec ’24US$93.04
US$97.44
+4.7%
9.0%US$101.00US$73.00n/a9
Nov ’24US$91.44
US$97.44
+6.6%
9.0%US$101.00US$73.00US$95.499
Oct ’24US$93.40
US$97.80
+4.7%
8.5%US$101.00US$73.00US$95.8510
Sep ’24US$93.85
US$98.00
+4.4%
8.2%US$101.00US$73.00US$98.0111
Aug ’24US$91.49
US$98.00
+7.1%
8.2%US$101.00US$73.00US$98.0811
Jul ’24US$91.44
US$95.82
+4.8%
9.0%US$101.00US$73.00US$96.6811
Jun ’24US$76.68
US$93.92
+22.5%
12.6%US$115.00US$73.00US$91.1512
May ’24US$80.12
US$105.23
+31.3%
15.9%US$130.00US$72.00US$91.8913
Apr ’24US$73.55
US$109.15
+48.4%
13.5%US$130.00US$84.00US$92.4213
Mar ’24US$89.57
US$109.15
+21.9%
13.5%US$130.00US$84.00US$93.3413
Feb ’24US$97.00
US$110.85
+14.3%
16.9%US$145.00US$84.00US$94.3913
Jan ’24US$83.54
US$118.00
+41.2%
16.7%US$145.00US$88.00US$95.0613
Dec ’23US$90.98
US$118.00
+29.7%
16.7%US$145.00US$88.00US$93.0413
Nov ’23US$95.12
US$121.86
+28.1%
16.7%US$150.00US$88.00US$91.4414

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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