Stock Analysis

At US$6.50, Is It Time To Put Brookdale Senior Living Inc. (NYSE:BKD) On Your Watch List?

NYSE:BKD
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Brookdale Senior Living Inc. (NYSE:BKD), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise of 23% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. The recent jump in the share price has meant that the company is trading at close to its 52-week high. As a small cap stock, hardly covered by any analysts, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Brookdale Senior Living’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

See our latest analysis for Brookdale Senior Living

Is Brookdale Senior Living Still Cheap?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to our valuation model. It’s trading around 11% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Brookdale Senior Living today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $7.28, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Brookdale Senior Living’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will Brookdale Senior Living generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:BKD Earnings and Revenue Growth March 22nd 2024

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by 29% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Brookdale Senior Living. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? BKD’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on BKD, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Brookdale Senior Living at this point in time. While conducting our analysis, we found that Brookdale Senior Living has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.