Positive Sentiment Still Eludes agilon health, inc. (NYSE:AGL) Following 29% Share Price Slump
To the annoyance of some shareholders, agilon health, inc. (NYSE:AGL) shares are down a considerable 29% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 73% share price decline.
Following the heavy fall in price, it would be understandable if you think agilon health is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.1x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Healthcare industry have P/S ratios above 1x. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for agilon health
What Does agilon health's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, agilon health has been doing relatively well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think agilon health's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For agilon health?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, agilon health would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 23% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 189% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 10% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 6.6% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it odd that agilon health is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On agilon health's P/S
agilon health's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
A look at agilon health's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - agilon health has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.