Stock Analysis

QuidelOrtho Corporation (NASDAQ:QDEL) Stock Catapults 38% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

NasdaqGS:QDEL
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QuidelOrtho Corporation (NASDAQ:QDEL) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 38% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 47% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, QuidelOrtho may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x, since almost half of all companies in the Medical Equipment industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 3.1x and even P/S higher than 6x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for QuidelOrtho

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:QDEL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 9th 2024

How Has QuidelOrtho Performed Recently?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, QuidelOrtho's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on QuidelOrtho will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is QuidelOrtho's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like QuidelOrtho's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 10%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 54% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 2.3% as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 9.2%, which paints a poor picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that QuidelOrtho's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What We Can Learn From QuidelOrtho's P/S?

QuidelOrtho's recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of QuidelOrtho's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for QuidelOrtho that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on QuidelOrtho, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if QuidelOrtho might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.