Stock Analysis

Benign Growth For Omnicell, Inc. (NASDAQ:OMCL) Underpins Its Share Price

NasdaqGS:OMCL
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You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x Omnicell, Inc. (NASDAQ:OMCL) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Medical Equipment companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 3.3x and even P/S higher than 8x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Omnicell

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:OMCL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 25th 2023

How Has Omnicell Performed Recently?

Omnicell hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Omnicell.

How Is Omnicell's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Omnicell would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 9.4%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 33% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 0.1% per annum over the next three years. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 9.8% per year.

In light of this, it's understandable that Omnicell's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What Does Omnicell's P/S Mean For Investors?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Omnicell's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Omnicell's poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Omnicell with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Omnicell, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.