Stock Analysis

Cautious Investors Not Rewarding Spectral AI, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MDAI) Performance Completely

NasdaqCM:MDAI
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Spectral AI, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MDAI) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Medical Equipment industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.2x and even P/S above 7x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Spectral AI

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:MDAI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 28th 2024

What Does Spectral AI's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Spectral AI could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Spectral AI.

How Is Spectral AI's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Spectral AI's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 22% decrease to the company's top line. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 12% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 33% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 10% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Spectral AI's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Spectral AI's P/S

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Spectral AI's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.

It is also worth noting that we have found 6 warning signs for Spectral AI (3 are potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Spectral AI, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.