Guardant Health Valuation

Is GH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GH ($34.37) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($34.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GH is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GH?

Key metric: As GH is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for GH. This is calculated by dividing GH's market cap by their current revenue.
What is GH's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio6.1x
SalesUS$692.26m
Market CapUS$4.37b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GH's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.3x
OPCH Option Care Health
0.8x7.4%US$4.0b
BTSG BrightSpring Health Services
0.3x9.2%US$3.3b
LFST LifeStance Health Group
2.4x12.2%US$2.9b
PRVA Privia Health Group
1.5x11.2%US$2.7b
GH Guardant Health
6.1x17.0%US$4.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: GH is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.1x) compared to the peer average (1.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does GH's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Healthcare Industry?

36 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MCK McKesson
0.2x8.1%US$78.29b
CVS CVS Health
0.2x4.5%US$75.61b
COR Cencora
0.2x6.5%US$47.87b
CNC Centene
0.2x5.5%US$31.01b
GH 6.1xIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies36PS01.22.43.64.86+
36 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: GH is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.1x) compared to the US Healthcare industry average (1.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GH's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GH PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio6.1x
Fair PS Ratio4.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: GH is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$34.37
US$43.00
+25.1%
13.6%US$60.00US$34.00n/a20
Nov ’25US$23.00
US$41.60
+80.9%
12.7%US$50.00US$32.00n/a20
Oct ’25US$22.12
US$42.70
+93.0%
14.1%US$60.00US$34.00n/a20
Sep ’25US$25.58
US$42.70
+66.9%
14.1%US$60.00US$34.00n/a20
Aug ’25US$33.36
US$39.10
+17.2%
17.1%US$50.00US$28.00n/a20
Jul ’25US$28.26
US$37.45
+32.5%
18.7%US$47.00US$28.00n/a20
Jun ’25US$27.10
US$37.39
+38.0%
19.9%US$47.00US$28.00n/a18
May ’25US$18.26
US$38.89
+113.0%
21.3%US$50.00US$27.00n/a18
Apr ’25US$20.25
US$41.11
+103.0%
20.7%US$54.00US$27.00n/a18
Mar ’25US$18.97
US$41.50
+118.8%
19.4%US$54.00US$27.00n/a18
Feb ’25US$21.93
US$46.22
+110.8%
18.5%US$60.00US$27.00n/a18
Jan ’25US$27.05
US$47.22
+74.6%
18.9%US$64.00US$27.00n/a18
Dec ’24US$26.33
US$48.22
+83.1%
18.8%US$64.00US$27.00n/a18
Nov ’24US$26.21
US$50.76
+93.7%
18.1%US$74.00US$34.00US$23.0017
Oct ’24US$29.64
US$53.00
+78.8%
17.6%US$74.00US$34.00US$22.1217
Sep ’24US$35.01
US$53.94
+54.1%
15.0%US$74.00US$40.00US$25.5817
Aug ’24US$38.00
US$52.88
+39.2%
20.2%US$74.00US$30.00US$33.3617
Jul ’24US$35.80
US$52.71
+47.2%
20.3%US$74.00US$30.00US$28.2617
Jun ’24US$31.39
US$52.71
+67.9%
20.3%US$74.00US$30.00US$27.1017
May ’24US$22.51
US$54.25
+141.0%
25.1%US$88.00US$33.00US$18.2616
Apr ’24US$23.44
US$54.25
+131.4%
25.1%US$88.00US$33.00US$20.2516
Mar ’24US$29.36
US$56.88
+93.7%
20.1%US$88.00US$36.00US$18.9716
Feb ’24US$32.01
US$65.13
+103.5%
19.0%US$88.00US$36.00US$21.9316
Jan ’24US$27.20
US$69.40
+155.1%
16.1%US$90.00US$50.00US$27.0515
Dec ’23US$52.41
US$78.80
+50.4%
14.2%US$99.00US$50.00US$26.3315
Nov ’23US$49.59
US$92.87
+87.3%
21.4%US$130.00US$50.00US$26.2115

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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