LifeStance Health Group, Inc.

NasdaqGS:LFST Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.9b

LifeStance Health Group Valuation

Is LFST undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LFST when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$6.02
Fair Value
27.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: LFST ($7.7) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($6.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LFST is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LFST?

Key metric: As LFST is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for LFST. This is calculated by dividing LFST's market cap by their current revenue.
What is LFST's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.4x
SalesUS$1.21b
Market CapUS$2.88b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does LFST's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for LFST vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.4x
BTSG BrightSpring Health Services
0.3x9.3%US$3.0b
PRVA Privia Health Group
1.5x11.7%US$2.4b
GH Guardant Health
6.5x16.8%US$4.5b
AMED Amedisys
1.3x5.8%US$3.0b
LFST LifeStance Health Group
2.4x12.2%US$2.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: LFST is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the peer average (2.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does LFST's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Healthcare Industry?

34 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MCK McKesson
0.2x8.5%US$74.29b
CVS CVS Health
0.2x4.5%US$57.61b
COR Cencora
0.2x6.5%US$45.27b
HUM Humana
0.3x2.8%US$32.18b
LFST 2.4xIndustry Avg. 1.2xNo. of Companies34PS01.22.43.64.86+
34 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: LFST is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the US Healthcare industry average (1.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LFST's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LFST PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.4x
Fair PS Ratio1.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: LFST is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LFST forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$7.70
US$8.70
+13.0%
14.4%US$10.00US$7.00n/a5
Jan ’26US$7.37
US$8.70
+18.0%
14.4%US$10.00US$7.00n/a5
Dec ’25US$7.52
US$8.30
+10.4%
13.0%US$10.00US$7.00n/a5
Nov ’25US$6.81
US$7.92
+16.3%
16.5%US$10.00US$6.00n/a6
Oct ’25US$6.89
US$7.79
+13.0%
16.0%US$10.00US$6.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$6.31
US$7.79
+23.4%
16.0%US$10.00US$6.00n/a7
Aug ’25US$5.61
US$8.50
+51.5%
10.4%US$10.00US$7.00n/a7
Jul ’25US$5.00
US$8.50
+70.0%
10.4%US$10.00US$7.00n/a7
Jun ’25US$5.57
US$8.79
+57.7%
7.4%US$10.00US$8.00n/a7
May ’25US$6.45
US$8.79
+36.2%
7.4%US$10.00US$8.00n/a7
Apr ’25US$6.20
US$8.79
+41.7%
7.4%US$10.00US$8.00n/a7
Mar ’25US$7.79
US$8.50
+9.2%
8.3%US$10.00US$8.00n/a7
Feb ’25US$5.64
US$7.71
+36.8%
15.0%US$10.00US$6.00n/a7
Jan ’25US$7.83
US$7.83
+0.04%
15.5%US$10.00US$6.00US$7.376
Dec ’24US$6.55
US$7.83
+19.6%
15.5%US$10.00US$6.00US$7.526
Nov ’24US$5.70
US$9.50
+66.7%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00US$6.816
Oct ’24US$6.87
US$9.58
+39.5%
4.7%US$10.00US$9.00US$6.896
Sep ’24US$7.90
US$9.58
+21.3%
4.7%US$10.00US$9.00US$6.316
Aug ’24US$9.37
US$9.42
+0.5%
4.8%US$10.00US$9.00US$5.616
Jul ’24US$9.13
US$9.42
+3.1%
4.8%US$10.00US$9.00US$5.006
Jun ’24US$8.32
US$9.42
+13.2%
4.8%US$10.00US$9.00US$5.576
May ’24US$8.20
US$7.59
-7.4%
5.9%US$8.00US$7.00US$6.456
Apr ’24US$7.43
US$7.59
+2.2%
5.9%US$8.00US$7.00US$6.206
Mar ’24US$4.79
US$7.51
+56.8%
7.7%US$8.00US$6.50US$7.796
Feb ’24US$5.39
US$7.92
+46.9%
13.8%US$10.00US$6.50US$5.646
Jan ’24US$4.94
US$7.92
+60.3%
13.8%US$10.00US$6.50US$7.836
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
US$8.70
Fair Value
11.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/08 04:39
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/08 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

LifeStance Health Group, Inc. is covered by 10 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Stephanie DavisBarclays
Jamie PerseGoldman Sachs
Jamie PerseGoldman Sachs