Stock Analysis

Is Great Elm Group (NASDAQ:GEG) A Risky Investment?

NasdaqGS:GEG
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Great Elm Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:GEG) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Great Elm Group

How Much Debt Does Great Elm Group Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Great Elm Group had US$64.1m of debt in December 2023, down from US$85.2m, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$122.8m in cash, so it actually has US$58.7m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:GEG Debt to Equity History March 18th 2024

A Look At Great Elm Group's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Great Elm Group had liabilities of US$6.88m due within a year, and liabilities of US$64.7m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$122.8m and US$3.49m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has US$54.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This luscious liquidity implies that Great Elm Group's balance sheet is sturdy like a giant sequoia tree. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Succinctly put, Great Elm Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Great Elm Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Great Elm Group reported revenue of US$11m, which is a gain of 77%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

So How Risky Is Great Elm Group?

While Great Elm Group lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow US$40m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. Given it also grew revenue by 77% over the last year, we think there's a good chance the company is on track. That growth could mean this is one stock well worth watching. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Great Elm Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Great Elm Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.