Co-Diagnostics Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 0/6
Co-Diagnostics's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -56.6%, while the Medical Equipment industry saw earnings growing at 15.3% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 68.2% per year.
Key information
-56.64%
Earnings growth rate
-55.05%
EPS growth rate
| Medical Equipment Industry Growth | 8.90% |
| Revenue growth rate | -68.23% |
| Return on equity | -302.34% |
| Net Margin | -6,753.69% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Oct 18
Regulatory Approvals And Launches Will Expand Decentralized Healthcare Access
Narrative Update on Co-Diagnostics Analysts have marginally increased their price target for Co-Diagnostics from $3.00 to $3.00, citing minimal changes in valuation inputs and updated financial forecasts as the rationale for this slight adjustment. What's in the News Announced development of a proprietary sample preparation instrument to streamline its point-of-care Co-Dx PCR Mycobacterium Tuberculosis Test.Narrative Update • Oct 04
Regulatory Approvals And Launches Will Expand Decentralized Healthcare Access
Analysts have significantly lowered their price target for Co-Diagnostics from $10.00 to $3.00, citing revised fair value estimates and a reduced expectation for future earnings multiples. What's in the News Co-Diagnostics completed a $3.85 million Follow-on Equity Offering, issuing 9,619,000 shares of common stock at $0.40 per share in a registered direct offering.
New Narrative • May 04
Co-Dx PCR Platform And FDA 510(K) Clearance Will Expand Market Reach
Advancements in PCR platform and manufacturing enhance commercialization, potentially increasing revenues and profit margins through scale efficiencies.Analysis Article • Feb 25
Is Co-Diagnostics (NASDAQ:CODX) In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans?
We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, biotech and mining...Analysis Article • Jun 14
Here's Why We're Watching Co-Diagnostics' (NASDAQ:CODX) Cash Burn Situation
Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the...Analysis Article • May 18
One Co-Diagnostics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CODX) Analyst Just Slashed Their Estimates By A Consequential 14%
One thing we could say about the covering analyst on Co-Diagnostics, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CODX ) - they aren't optimistic...Analysis Article • Apr 14
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Co-Diagnostics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CODX)
Key Insights Co-Diagnostics' estimated fair value is US$1.40 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Seeking Alpha • Sep 07
Co-Diagnostics: Hold Thesis Remains Well Intact
Summary We reiterate the hold thesis on Co-Diagnostics following Q2 FY22 earnings. Covid-19 turnover continues to diminish for CODX whilst surging for rival test providers. Inventory levels for the company spiked year over year as the Omicron-led demand in testing faded. We've valued CODX at $3.24 suggesting shares are adequately priced by the market consensus. From the Portfolio Manager's Desk Having witnessed the rapid cooling of Omicron-led demand in Covid-19 diagnostics, the Sars-CoV-2 assay market is looking increasingly unattractive. Here revisit Co-Diagnostics, Inc. (CODX) a name that we are extremely familiar with having tracked the company across the entire span of the pandemic. We were buyers of the stock in January FY21 as a speculative position built around our core holdings in med-tech. We've since exited the position with a small loss, and believe impeding macro-headwinds remain for the company. With Covid-assay demand still diminishing, supplier inventory levels are likely at historically low levels, and the question is if they will seek to restore/repurchase inventory levels back to FY21 highs. The bulk of CODX's turnover is derived from Covid-19, so this is key to the investment debate for CODX looking ahead. Investment Thesis Summary Here we reiterate a hold rating on CODX with a $3.24 price target. With Covid-19 test revenue diminishing substantially in Q2 FY22 [whilst rival test makers revenue surged YoY] there is low predictability of the company's future cash flows by estimation. Valuations are supportive of a neutral view and forward looking earnings are marred by the fact Covid-19 test volumes will likely dwindle as time goes on. Although it has other innovations in the pipeline, the timing and timeline for these are fluid for now and there's no concrete launch dates. We need further clarity on how CODX intends to distribute its top-line ex-Covid. Rate hold price target $3.24. Co-Diagnostics' Q2 earnings illustrate headwinds CODX came in with a fairly weak set of numbers when compared to Q2 FY21. It clipped revenue of just $5 million ("mm"), an 81.6% YoY decrease from $27.4mm the year prior. The substantial tightening at the top line came as demand for CODX's Logix Smart Covid-19 test, that was developed in response to the pandemic [more on this later]. CODX also recognized a 54% YoY decline in sales to third parties of ~$75,000. Quarterly gross profit margin narrowed by 9 percentage points to 81.8% following the tighter revenue and unit volumes whilst fixed production costs made up a larger portion of revenues. Moving down the P&L, OPEX also narrowed by ~36% YoY to $8.3mm secondary to lower variable expenditures tied to sales volume. Quarterly operating loss came in at $4.17mm down from a profit of ~$11.8mm the year prior, again from the lower revenues and a $353,000 YoY gain in depreciation and amortization expense. Meanwhile R&D investment for the quarter came in 16.7% lower to $3.9mm from a relatively high base in Q2 FY21, and the company also bought back $2.6mm of its own stock. It brought this down to a quarterly net loss of ~$2.7mm or -$0.08/share, down from a $9.7mm/ $0.34 per share after-tax profit last year. CODX did still see profitability from CFFO during the quarter. In fact, for the 6-months to Q2 FY22, it printed $9.4mm [$0.28/share] in cash from operations. However, also noted is that it added $2.9mm stock based compensation expense to this, whereas accounts receivable value jumped $8.56mm during this time. Free cash flow ("FCF") has narrowed on a sequential basis for the company and came in at $1.15mm for the quarter and $25.2mm for the TTM. However, one point to note is that its TTM return on invested capital ("ROIC") has remained in the double digits at 24.2% last quarter and comfortably covers CODX's WACC hurdle of ~6.2% by ~4 turns. As seen in Exhibit 1, ROIC has remained consistently high whilst FCF is reinvested heavily back into the business. Exhibit 1. Quarterly FCF continues to decline whilst TTM ROIC remains buoyant, albeit tightening as well. This adds a bullish tilt to the risk/reward calculus and provides a solid bedrock for the company to continue seeing return on its investments looking ahead. Data: HB Insights, CODX SEC Filings Outlook weakened on lower test demand As have previously outlined, Covid-19 provided CODX with stellar revenue and earnings leverage that was reflected in its numbers at the time. Previously, we advocated that CODX's test volumes should remain high as there was currently no test to distinguish between influenza and Covid-19, a tailwind for assay kit producers. Management remain equally as optimistic, per language from CEO Dwight Egan on the Q2 earnings call: This dramatic shift [decrease] in testing behavior was widely felt across the diagnostics industry. Experts believe other waves of COVID variants are all, but inevitable. However, the timing and severity are impossible to predict with every new variant, including the possibility of immune escape as variants and sub-variants by for dominance. In the U.S. alone, we are still seeing around a 100,000 new COVID cases reported per day, over 6,000 COVID-related hospital admissions and nearly 400 deaths, all evidence to date points to a resilient mutable virus with no indication it will go away and that we will be living with it for years to come." Clearly, however, the Omicron-led demand for assay volumes has subsided and this is reflected in inventory values of both manufacturers and suppliers of the tests. We see evidence of this in CODX's numbers as its inventory value increased ~135% YoY in the second quarter to $4.7mm.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Co-Diagnostics makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 1 | -49 | 11 | 20 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 1 | -47 | 11 | 19 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 1 | -32 | 16 | 19 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 1 | -36 | 19 | 19 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 3 | -36 | 20 | 20 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 4 | -38 | 21 | 21 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 7 | -41 | 20 | 22 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 9 | -38 | 20 | 23 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 7 | -39 | 21 | 24 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 7 | -35 | 21 | 23 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 5 | -43 | 22 | 22 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 7 | -38 | 22 | 21 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 12 | -32 | 21 | 19 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 34 | -14 | 22 | 17 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 53 | 15 | 20 | 15 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 78 | 28 | 22 | 16 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 101 | 40 | 26 | 17 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 98 | 37 | 25 | 15 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 105 | 42 | 25 | 14 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 96 | 46 | 21 | 9 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 93 | 51 | 15 | 5 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 75 | 42 | 13 | 3 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 48 | 28 | 9 | 2 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 2 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 2 | -6 | 5 | 1 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 0 | -6 | 5 | 1 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 0 | -6 | 5 | 1 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 0 | -6 | 5 | 1 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 0 | -6 | 5 | 1 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 0 | -6 | 5 | 1 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 0 | -6 | 5 | 1 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 0 | -8 | 5 | 1 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 0 | -8 | 4 | 1 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 0 | -7 | 4 | 1 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 0 | -6 | 3 | 1 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 1 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 1 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 1 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 1 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 1 |
Quality Earnings: CODX is currently unprofitable.
Growing Profit Margin: CODX is currently unprofitable.
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: CODX is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 56.6% per year.
Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare CODX's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable
Earnings vs Industry: CODX is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Medical Equipment industry (14.8%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: CODX has a negative Return on Equity (-302.34%), as it is currently unprofitable.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/11 14:15 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Co-Diagnostics, Inc. is covered by 2 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Jason McCarthy | Maxim Group |
| James Sidoti | Sidoti & Company, LLC |