Co-Diagnostics, Inc.

NasdaqCM:CODX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.9m

Co-Diagnostics Balance Sheet Health

Financial Health criteria checks 6/6

Co-Diagnostics has a total shareholder equity of $20.6M and total debt of $0.0, which brings its debt-to-equity ratio to 0%. Its total assets and total liabilities are $24.7M and $4.1M respectively.

Key information

0%

Debt to equity ratio

US$0

Debt

Interest coverage ration/a
CashUS$11.88m
EquityUS$20.63m
Total liabilitiesUS$4.11m
Total assetsUS$24.74m

Recent financial health updates

Analysis Article Feb 25

Is Co-Diagnostics (NASDAQ:CODX) In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans?

We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, biotech and mining...
Analysis Article Jun 14

Here's Why We're Watching Co-Diagnostics' (NASDAQ:CODX) Cash Burn Situation

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the...

Recent updates

Narrative Update Oct 18

Regulatory Approvals And Launches Will Expand Decentralized Healthcare Access

Narrative Update on Co-Diagnostics Analysts have marginally increased their price target for Co-Diagnostics from $3.00 to $3.00, citing minimal changes in valuation inputs and updated financial forecasts as the rationale for this slight adjustment. What's in the News Announced development of a proprietary sample preparation instrument to streamline its point-of-care Co-Dx PCR Mycobacterium Tuberculosis Test.
Narrative Update Oct 04

Regulatory Approvals And Launches Will Expand Decentralized Healthcare Access

Analysts have significantly lowered their price target for Co-Diagnostics from $10.00 to $3.00, citing revised fair value estimates and a reduced expectation for future earnings multiples. What's in the News Co-Diagnostics completed a $3.85 million Follow-on Equity Offering, issuing 9,619,000 shares of common stock at $0.40 per share in a registered direct offering.
User avatar
New Narrative May 04

Co-Dx PCR Platform And FDA 510(K) Clearance Will Expand Market Reach

Advancements in PCR platform and manufacturing enhance commercialization, potentially increasing revenues and profit margins through scale efficiencies.
Analysis Article Feb 25

Is Co-Diagnostics (NASDAQ:CODX) In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans?

We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, biotech and mining...
Analysis Article Jun 14

Here's Why We're Watching Co-Diagnostics' (NASDAQ:CODX) Cash Burn Situation

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the...
Analysis Article May 18

One Co-Diagnostics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CODX) Analyst Just Slashed Their Estimates By A Consequential 14%

One thing we could say about the covering analyst on Co-Diagnostics, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CODX ) - they aren't optimistic...
Analysis Article Apr 14

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Co-Diagnostics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CODX)

Key Insights Co-Diagnostics' estimated fair value is US$1.40 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...
Seeking Alpha Sep 07

Co-Diagnostics: Hold Thesis Remains Well Intact

Summary We reiterate the hold thesis on Co-Diagnostics following Q2 FY22 earnings. Covid-19 turnover continues to diminish for CODX whilst surging for rival test providers. Inventory levels for the company spiked year over year as the Omicron-led demand in testing faded. We've valued CODX at $3.24 suggesting shares are adequately priced by the market consensus. From the Portfolio Manager's Desk Having witnessed the rapid cooling of Omicron-led demand in Covid-19 diagnostics, the Sars-CoV-2 assay market is looking increasingly unattractive. Here revisit Co-Diagnostics, Inc. (CODX) a name that we are extremely familiar with having tracked the company across the entire span of the pandemic. We were buyers of the stock in January FY21 as a speculative position built around our core holdings in med-tech. We've since exited the position with a small loss, and believe impeding macro-headwinds remain for the company. With Covid-assay demand still diminishing, supplier inventory levels are likely at historically low levels, and the question is if they will seek to restore/repurchase inventory levels back to FY21 highs. The bulk of CODX's turnover is derived from Covid-19, so this is key to the investment debate for CODX looking ahead. Investment Thesis Summary Here we reiterate a hold rating on CODX with a $3.24 price target. With Covid-19 test revenue diminishing substantially in Q2 FY22 [whilst rival test makers revenue surged YoY] there is low predictability of the company's future cash flows by estimation. Valuations are supportive of a neutral view and forward looking earnings are marred by the fact Covid-19 test volumes will likely dwindle as time goes on. Although it has other innovations in the pipeline, the timing and timeline for these are fluid for now and there's no concrete launch dates. We need further clarity on how CODX intends to distribute its top-line ex-Covid. Rate hold price target $3.24. Co-Diagnostics' Q2 earnings illustrate headwinds CODX came in with a fairly weak set of numbers when compared to Q2 FY21. It clipped revenue of just $5 million ("mm"), an 81.6% YoY decrease from $27.4mm the year prior. The substantial tightening at the top line came as demand for CODX's Logix Smart Covid-19 test, that was developed in response to the pandemic [more on this later]. CODX also recognized a 54% YoY decline in sales to third parties of ~$75,000. Quarterly gross profit margin narrowed by 9 percentage points to 81.8% following the tighter revenue and unit volumes whilst fixed production costs made up a larger portion of revenues. Moving down the P&L, OPEX also narrowed by ~36% YoY to $8.3mm secondary to lower variable expenditures tied to sales volume. Quarterly operating loss came in at $4.17mm down from a profit of ~$11.8mm the year prior, again from the lower revenues and a $353,000 YoY gain in depreciation and amortization expense. Meanwhile R&D investment for the quarter came in 16.7% lower to $3.9mm from a relatively high base in Q2 FY21, and the company also bought back $2.6mm of its own stock. It brought this down to a quarterly net loss of ~$2.7mm or -$0.08/share, down from a $9.7mm/ $0.34 per share after-tax profit last year. CODX did still see profitability from CFFO during the quarter. In fact, for the 6-months to Q2 FY22, it printed $9.4mm [$0.28/share] in cash from operations. However, also noted is that it added $2.9mm stock based compensation expense to this, whereas accounts receivable value jumped $8.56mm during this time. Free cash flow ("FCF") has narrowed on a sequential basis for the company and came in at $1.15mm for the quarter and $25.2mm for the TTM. However, one point to note is that its TTM return on invested capital ("ROIC") has remained in the double digits at 24.2% last quarter and comfortably covers CODX's WACC hurdle of ~6.2% by ~4 turns. As seen in Exhibit 1, ROIC has remained consistently high whilst FCF is reinvested heavily back into the business. Exhibit 1. Quarterly FCF continues to decline whilst TTM ROIC remains buoyant, albeit tightening as well. This adds a bullish tilt to the risk/reward calculus and provides a solid bedrock for the company to continue seeing return on its investments looking ahead. Data: HB Insights, CODX SEC Filings Outlook weakened on lower test demand As have previously outlined, Covid-19 provided CODX with stellar revenue and earnings leverage that was reflected in its numbers at the time. Previously, we advocated that CODX's test volumes should remain high as there was currently no test to distinguish between influenza and Covid-19, a tailwind for assay kit producers. Management remain equally as optimistic, per language from CEO Dwight Egan on the Q2 earnings call: This dramatic shift [decrease] in testing behavior was widely felt across the diagnostics industry. Experts believe other waves of COVID variants are all, but inevitable. However, the timing and severity are impossible to predict with every new variant, including the possibility of immune escape as variants and sub-variants by for dominance. In the U.S. alone, we are still seeing around a 100,000 new COVID cases reported per day, over 6,000 COVID-related hospital admissions and nearly 400 deaths, all evidence to date points to a resilient mutable virus with no indication it will go away and that we will be living with it for years to come." Clearly, however, the Omicron-led demand for assay volumes has subsided and this is reflected in inventory values of both manufacturers and suppliers of the tests. We see evidence of this in CODX's numbers as its inventory value increased ~135% YoY in the second quarter to $4.7mm.
Seeking Alpha Aug 11

Co-Diagnostics stock sinks ~37% after hours on Q2 results miss, hurt by lower volumes

Shares of Co-Diagnostics (NASDAQ:CODX) have slumped 36.5% to $4.10 in Thursday postmarket trading, after the molecular diagnostics company posted Q2 results that missed estimates, with its revenue hit by volume declines. Its Q2 revenue of $5.02M fell 81.7% Y/Y and missed expectations by $13.98M. The decrease was primarily due to lower demand of the company's Logix Smart COVID-19 test. The lower volumes were "primarily the result of a reduction in mandated testing in travel and public venues and in government funding for testing programs," CODX CEO Dwight Egan said in the earnings report. The company's Q2 GAAP EPS of -$0.08 missed by $0.18. CODX also has a monkeypox test that has the potential to become a tailwind if the current outbreak continues to worsen. "The company has initiatives underway intended to actively address...pressures, such as growing our international distributor network, expanding our infectious disease testing menu including monkeypox, and most importantly, our upcoming at-home/point-of-care testing platform," Egan added.
Seeking Alpha Jul 11

Co-Diagnostics spikes on shipments of monkeypox test

The shares of Co-Diagnostics (NASDAQ:CODX) reached over a three-month high on Monday after the molecular diagnostics company announced the shipment of testing reagents for the monkeypox virus to one of its international distributors. Co-Diagnostics (CODX) said that the products it shipped were designed and developed on an expedited basis to suit the demands of the distributor’s region. The recent monkeypox outbreak has benefitted the companies focused on vaccines and therapeutics for the rare viral disease as the global case count exceeded more than 6,000 as of July 07. This month, the World Health Organization (WHO) plans to convene an advisory meeting to decide whether the outbreak amounts to a global health emergency. “We are grateful to our dedicated design and manufacturing teams, whose efforts have allowed us to react so quickly to meet the needs of an important distributor customer,” Chief Executive Dwight Egan noted. In May, Co-Diagnostics (CODX) announced the completion of the principal design work for a PCR-based monkeypox test.
Analysis Article Jul 06

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Co-Diagnostics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CODX)

How far off is Co-Diagnostics, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CODX ) from its intrinsic value? Using the most recent financial data...

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: CODX's short term assets ($13.7M) exceed its short term liabilities ($3.5M).

Long Term Liabilities: CODX's short term assets ($13.7M) exceed its long term liabilities ($574.3K).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: CODX is debt free.

Reducing Debt: CODX had no debt 5 years ago.


Balance Sheet


Cash Runway Analysis

For companies that have on average been loss-making in the past, we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.

Stable Cash Runway: CODX has sufficient cash runway for 5 months based on last reported free cash flow, but has since raised additional capital.

Forecast Cash Runway: CODX is forecast to have sufficient cash runway for 4 months based on free cash flow estimates, but has since raised additional capital.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/07 10:57
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/07 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Co-Diagnostics, Inc. is covered by 3 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yi ChenH.C. Wainwright & Co.
Jason McCarthyMaxim Group
James SidotiSidoti & Company, LLC