Stock Analysis

Biodesix, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BDSX) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce

NasdaqGM:BDSX
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Biodesix, Inc. (NASDAQ:BDSX) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 12% over that time.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Healthcare industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.2x, you may consider Biodesix as a stock not worth researching with its 3.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Biodesix

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:BDSX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 4th 2024

What Does Biodesix's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Biodesix has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Keen to find out how analysts think Biodesix's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Biodesix's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 23%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 64% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 30% per year during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 7.7% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Biodesix's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Biodesix's P/S?

The strong share price surge has lead to Biodesix's P/S soaring as well. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Biodesix's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Biodesix (of which 2 are significant!) you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Biodesix's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Biodesix might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.