Stock Analysis

Market Cool On AxoGen, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AXGN) Revenues

NasdaqCM:AXGN
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You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.9x AxoGen, Inc. (NASDAQ:AXGN) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Medical Equipment companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 3.7x and even P/S higher than 8x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for AxoGen

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:AXGN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 9th 2023

What Does AxoGen's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been advantageous for AxoGen as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think AxoGen's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For AxoGen?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as AxoGen's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 15%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 43% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 15% per annum as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 9.5% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that AxoGen's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

AxoGen's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for AxoGen that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of AxoGen's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.