Stock Analysis

Alphatec Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ATEC): When Will It Breakeven?

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NasdaqGS:ATEC

With the business potentially at an important milestone, we thought we'd take a closer look at Alphatec Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ATEC) future prospects. Alphatec Holdings, Inc., a medical technology company, designs, develops, and advances technologies for the surgical treatment of spinal disorders in the United States and internationally. The US$1.5b market-cap company posted a loss in its most recent financial year of US$187m and a latest trailing-twelve-month loss of US$178m shrinking the gap between loss and breakeven. Many investors are wondering about the rate at which Alphatec Holdings will turn a profit, with the big question being “when will the company breakeven?” Below we will provide a high-level summary of the industry analysts’ expectations for the company.

See our latest analysis for Alphatec Holdings

Alphatec Holdings is bordering on breakeven, according to the 10 American Medical Equipment analysts. They expect the company to post a final loss in 2026, before turning a profit of US$79m in 2027. The company is therefore projected to breakeven around 2 years from now. What rate will the company have to grow year-on-year in order to breakeven on this date? Using a line of best fit, we calculated an average annual growth rate of 54%, which is extremely buoyant. Should the business grow at a slower rate, it will become profitable at a later date than expected.

NasdaqGS:ATEC Earnings Per Share Growth February 14th 2025

Underlying developments driving Alphatec Holdings' growth isn’t the focus of this broad overview, however, bear in mind that by and large a high growth rate is not out of the ordinary, particularly when a company is in a period of investment.

Before we wrap up, there’s one issue worth mentioning. Alphatec Holdings currently has a debt-to-equity ratio of over 2x. Generally, the rule of thumb is debt shouldn’t exceed 40% of your equity, and the company has considerably exceeded this. A higher level of debt requires more stringent capital management which increases the risk around investing in the loss-making company.

Next Steps:

This article is not intended to be a comprehensive analysis on Alphatec Holdings, so if you are interested in understanding the company at a deeper level, take a look at Alphatec Holdings' company page on Simply Wall St. We've also compiled a list of important aspects you should further research:

  1. Valuation: What is Alphatec Holdings worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Alphatec Holdings is currently mispriced by the market.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Alphatec Holdings’s board and the CEO’s background.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.