Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That American Oncology Network (NASDAQ:AONC) Is Using Debt Extensively

NasdaqCM:AONC
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies American Oncology Network, Inc. (NASDAQ:AONC) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for American Oncology Network

What Is American Oncology Network's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that American Oncology Network had US$80.4m in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has US$77.7m in cash leading to net debt of about US$2.74m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:AONC Debt to Equity History March 22nd 2024

How Healthy Is American Oncology Network's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that American Oncology Network had liabilities of US$167.9m due within a year, and liabilities of US$133.0m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$77.7m and US$179.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$43.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

American Oncology Network has a market capitalization of US$214.7m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. But either way, American Oncology Network has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Given net debt is only 0.16 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that American Oncology Network's EBIT has low interest coverage of 1.7 times. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. Notably, American Oncology Network made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of US$9.3m in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since American Oncology Network will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, American Oncology Network saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

While American Oncology Network's interest cover makes us cautious about it, its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow is no better. But on the brighter side of life, its net debt to EBITDA leaves us feeling more frolicsome. We should also note that Healthcare industry companies like American Oncology Network commonly do use debt without problems. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that American Oncology Network is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that American Oncology Network is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those can't be ignored...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.