Stock Analysis

Strong week for AdaptHealth (NASDAQ:AHCO) shareholders doesn't alleviate pain of three-year loss

NasdaqCM:AHCO
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Investing in stocks inevitably means buying into some companies that perform poorly. But the last three years have been particularly tough on longer term AdaptHealth Corp. (NASDAQ:AHCO) shareholders. Unfortunately, they have held through a 57% decline in the share price in that time. On the other hand the share price has bounced 5.5% over the last week.

On a more encouraging note the company has added US$68m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the three-year loss for shareholders.

See our latest analysis for AdaptHealth

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

AdaptHealth has made a profit in the past. However, it made a loss in the last twelve months, suggesting profit may be an unreliable metric at this stage. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

Revenue is actually up 11% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. It's probably worth investigating AdaptHealth further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqCM:AHCO Earnings and Revenue Growth January 8th 2025

If you are thinking of buying or selling AdaptHealth stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that AdaptHealth has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 47% in the last twelve months. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 2% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for AdaptHealth that you should be aware of.

But note: AdaptHealth may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.