Uni-President China Holdings Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of UPCH.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

UPCH.Y ($88.26) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] ($154.64)

Is UPCH.Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UPCH.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UPCH.Y ($88.26) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($154.64)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UPCH.Y is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UPCH.Y?

Key metric: As UPCH.Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UPCH.Y. This is calculated by dividing UPCH.Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UPCH.Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	15.4x
Earnings	CN¥1.76b
Market Cap	CN¥27.02b

UPCH.Y key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	8.9x
PEG Ratio	2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UPCH.Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UPCH.Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	24.9x
SMPL Simply Good Foods	28.1x	12.3%	US$3.9b
JJSF J&J Snack Foods	38.4x	13.7%	US$3.3b
FLO Flowers Foods	19.6x	6.5%	US$4.7b
NOMD Nomad Foods	13.7x	20.4%	US$2.9b
UPCH.Y Uni-President China Holdings	15.4x	7.9%	US$29.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UPCH.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the peer average (24.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UPCH.Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Food Industry?

5 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
GCEH Global Clean Energy Holdings	0.3x	n/a	US$45.16m
SEED Origin Agritech	1.9x	n/a	US$15.46m
FAMI Farmmi	1.8x	n/a	US$2.89m
IDBH.F Industrias Bachoco. de	0.0002x	n/a	US$59.94k

5 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UPCH.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the US Food industry average (19.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UPCH.Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UPCH.Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	15.4x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate UPCH.Y's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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