Lancaster Colony Corporation

NasdaqGS:LANC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.4b

Lancaster Colony Valuation

Is LANC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LANC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LANC ($196.11) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($100.82)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LANC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LANC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LANC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA21.6x
PEG Ratio2.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LANC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LANC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.9x
POST Post Holdings
20x14.8%US$6.1b
FLO Flowers Foods
38.7x28.3%US$4.8b
TWNK Hostess Brands
35x14.4%US$4.4b
PPC Pilgrim's Pride
25.9x15.3%US$8.3b
LANC Lancaster Colony
41.9x16.7%US$5.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LANC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.9x) compared to the peer average (28.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LANC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LANC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.9x) compared to the US Food industry average (16.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LANC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LANC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio41.9x
Fair PE Ratio21.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LANC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LANC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$196.11
US$212.15
+8.2%
5.6%US$236.00US$202.00n/a6
Apr ’25US$206.47
US$213.40
+3.4%
5.9%US$236.00US$202.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$206.25
US$212.80
+3.2%
6.2%US$236.00US$200.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$204.04
US$196.33
-3.8%
6.2%US$209.00US$180.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$166.39
US$188.00
+13.0%
8.0%US$209.00US$166.00n/a5
Dec ’24US$167.19
US$191.00
+14.2%
8.4%US$209.00US$166.00n/a4
Nov ’24US$171.14
US$205.33
+20.0%
8.2%US$226.00US$185.00n/a3
Oct ’24US$165.03
US$205.50
+24.5%
10.0%US$226.00US$185.00n/a2
Sep ’24US$165.85
US$205.00
+23.6%
10.2%US$226.00US$184.00n/a2
Aug ’24US$192.32
US$221.50
+15.2%
7.0%US$237.00US$206.00n/a2
Jul ’24US$201.09
US$226.00
+12.4%
4.9%US$237.00US$215.00n/a2
Jun ’24US$196.98
US$221.00
+12.2%
0.5%US$222.00US$220.00n/a2
May ’24US$212.71
US$209.50
-1.5%
0.7%US$211.00US$208.00n/a2
Apr ’24US$202.88
US$207.00
+2.0%
0.5%US$208.00US$206.00US$206.472
Mar ’24US$188.32
US$207.00
+9.9%
0.5%US$208.00US$206.00US$206.252
Feb ’24US$193.35
US$210.50
+8.9%
2.1%US$215.00US$206.00US$204.042
Jan ’24US$197.30
US$210.50
+6.7%
2.1%US$215.00US$206.00US$166.392
Dec ’23US$204.33
US$210.00
+2.8%
2.4%US$215.00US$205.00US$167.192
Nov ’23US$179.90
US$167.00
-7.2%
1.2%US$169.00US$165.00US$171.142
Oct ’23US$150.28
US$168.50
+12.1%
0.3%US$169.00US$168.00US$165.032
Sep ’23US$169.41
US$168.50
-0.5%
0.3%US$169.00US$168.00US$165.852
Aug ’23US$135.52
US$136.00
+0.4%
2.9%US$140.00US$132.00US$192.322
Jul ’23US$131.29
US$136.00
+3.6%
2.9%US$140.00US$132.00US$201.092
Jun ’23US$119.57
US$137.00
+14.6%
2.2%US$140.00US$134.00US$196.982
May ’23US$155.18
US$163.50
+5.4%
4.6%US$171.00US$156.00US$212.712
Apr ’23US$154.86
US$165.00
+6.5%
3.6%US$171.00US$159.00US$202.882

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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