Nestlé S.A.

OTCPK:NSRG.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$212.5b

Nestlé Valuation

Is NSRG.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NSRG.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NSRG.F ($82.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($185.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NSRG.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NSRG.F?

Key metric: As NSRG.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NSRG.F. This is calculated by dividing NSRG.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NSRG.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17x
EarningsCHF 11.20b
Market CapCHF 190.79b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NSRG.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NSRG.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20x
MDLZ Mondelez International
20.8x10.7%US$80.3b
GIS General Mills
13.6x1.5%US$35.3b
KHC Kraft Heinz
26.6x28.4%US$36.6b
HSY Hershey
19.3x2.6%US$34.9b
NSRG.F Nestlé
17x4.7%US$190.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NSRG.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the peer average (20x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NSRG.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Food Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GCEH Global Clean Energy Holdings
0.3xn/aUS$46.34m
ORIS Oriental Rise Holdings
2.8xn/aUS$30.16m
SEED Origin Agritech
1.7xn/aUS$13.34m
IDBH.F Industrias Bachoco. de
0.02xn/aUS$9.65m
NSRG.F 17.0xIndustry Avg. 19.3xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NSRG.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the US Food industry average (19.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NSRG.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NSRG.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17x
Fair PE Ratio26.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NSRG.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NSRG.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$82.40
US$99.89
+21.2%
9.5%US$122.14US$84.39n/a24
Dec ’25US$87.00
US$102.58
+17.9%
9.3%US$124.71US$86.16n/a23
Nov ’25US$94.88
US$107.33
+13.1%
9.4%US$128.34US$92.50n/a23
Oct ’25US$100.22
US$115.73
+15.5%
9.3%US$141.81US$99.26n/a23
Sep ’25US$106.89
US$119.45
+11.8%
9.5%US$142.59US$103.38n/a23
Aug ’25US$101.46
US$115.16
+13.5%
8.6%US$137.36US$99.59n/a23
Jul ’25US$101.57
US$118.74
+16.9%
9.3%US$137.73US$96.30n/a23
Jun ’25US$106.18
US$117.40
+10.6%
8.7%US$134.36US$93.94n/a23
May ’25US$100.37
US$118.54
+18.1%
9.2%US$135.69US$92.47n/a23
Apr ’25US$105.69
US$120.34
+13.9%
8.9%US$137.15US$93.46n/a23
Mar ’25US$104.62
US$123.49
+18.0%
8.7%US$141.13US$97.88n/a24
Feb ’25US$115.01
US$131.78
+14.6%
10.2%US$147.85US$100.91n/a24
Jan ’25US$115.95
US$130.28
+12.4%
9.8%US$146.43US$99.15n/a24
Dec ’24US$113.88
US$132.01
+15.9%
8.4%US$148.75US$110.99US$87.0024
Nov ’24US$109.35
US$130.61
+19.4%
8.1%US$145.55US$108.60US$94.8823
Oct ’24US$112.84
US$130.02
+15.2%
9.1%US$147.51US$105.99US$100.2223
Sep ’24US$119.32
US$136.77
+14.6%
8.0%US$153.80US$110.50US$106.8925
Aug ’24US$121.82
US$137.62
+13.0%
8.3%US$154.80US$111.22US$101.4624
Jul ’24US$120.43
US$135.35
+12.4%
8.0%US$150.84US$109.50US$101.5724
Jun ’24US$120.06
US$134.50
+12.0%
7.8%US$149.05US$108.20US$106.1824
May ’24US$127.71
US$136.09
+6.6%
8.3%US$151.48US$106.60US$100.3724
Apr ’24US$121.10
US$128.64
+6.2%
8.3%US$145.17US$102.16US$105.6924
Mar ’24US$112.49
US$128.65
+14.4%
8.0%US$144.64US$107.14US$104.6225
Feb ’24US$122.55
US$131.00
+6.9%
8.2%US$147.43US$109.21US$115.0124
Jan ’24US$117.61
US$127.79
+8.7%
9.1%US$145.28US$102.24US$115.9524
Dec ’23US$119.26
US$127.04
+6.5%
9.3%US$144.07US$101.39US$113.8824

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 23:33
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Nestlé S.A. is covered by 67 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jean-Marie L’HomeAurel BGC
Volker BosseBaader Helvea Equity Research
Andreas von ArxBaader Helvea Equity Research