Nestlé S.A.

OTCPK:NSRG.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$226.3b

Nestlé Valuation

Is NSRG.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NSRG.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NSRG.F ($88.62) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($172.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NSRG.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NSRG.F?

Key metric: As NSRG.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NSRG.F. This is calculated by dividing NSRG.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NSRG.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.9x
EarningsCHF 11.20b
Market CapCHF 201.02b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NSRG.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NSRG.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.9x
MDLZ Mondelez International
22.4x11.1%US$86.2b
KHC Kraft Heinz
27.4x28.4%US$37.7b
GIS General Mills
14.5x3.6%US$35.1b
HSY Hershey
19.4x3.0%US$34.6b
NSRG.F Nestlé
17.9x4.9%US$201.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NSRG.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x) compared to the peer average (20.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NSRG.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Food Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GCEH Global Clean Energy Holdings
2.1xn/aUS$45.02m
SEED Origin Agritech
1.8xn/aUS$14.54m
FAMI Farmmi
1.8xn/aUS$2.81m
IDBH.F Industrias Bachoco. de
0.0002xn/aUS$59.94k
NSRG.F 17.9xIndustry Avg. 19.2xNo. of Companies8PE01020304050+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NSRG.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x) compared to the US Food industry average (18.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NSRG.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NSRG.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.9x
Fair PE Ratio26.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NSRG.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NSRG.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$94.88
US$107.33
+13.1%
9.4%US$128.34US$92.50n/a23
Oct ’25US$100.22
US$115.73
+15.5%
9.3%US$141.81US$99.26n/a23
Sep ’25US$106.89
US$119.45
+11.8%
9.5%US$142.59US$103.38n/a23
Aug ’25US$101.46
US$115.16
+13.5%
8.6%US$137.36US$99.59n/a23
Jul ’25US$101.57
US$118.74
+16.9%
9.3%US$137.73US$96.30n/a23
Jun ’25US$106.18
US$117.40
+10.6%
8.7%US$134.36US$93.94n/a23
May ’25US$100.37
US$118.54
+18.1%
9.2%US$135.69US$92.47n/a23
Apr ’25US$105.69
US$120.34
+13.9%
8.9%US$137.15US$93.46n/a23
Mar ’25US$104.62
US$123.49
+18.0%
8.7%US$141.13US$97.88n/a24
Feb ’25US$115.01
US$131.78
+14.6%
10.2%US$147.85US$100.91n/a24
Jan ’25US$115.95
US$130.28
+12.4%
9.8%US$146.43US$99.15n/a24
Dec ’24US$113.88
US$132.01
+15.9%
8.4%US$148.75US$110.99n/a24
Nov ’24US$109.35
US$130.61
+19.4%
8.1%US$145.55US$108.60US$94.8823
Oct ’24US$112.84
US$130.02
+15.2%
9.1%US$147.51US$105.99US$100.2223
Sep ’24US$119.32
US$136.77
+14.6%
8.0%US$153.80US$110.50US$106.8925
Aug ’24US$121.82
US$137.62
+13.0%
8.3%US$154.80US$111.22US$101.4624
Jul ’24US$120.43
US$135.35
+12.4%
8.0%US$150.84US$109.50US$101.5724
Jun ’24US$120.06
US$134.50
+12.0%
7.8%US$149.05US$108.20US$106.1824
May ’24US$127.71
US$136.09
+6.6%
8.3%US$151.48US$106.60US$100.3724
Apr ’24US$121.10
US$128.64
+6.2%
8.3%US$145.17US$102.16US$105.6924
Mar ’24US$112.49
US$128.65
+14.4%
8.0%US$144.64US$107.14US$104.6225
Feb ’24US$122.55
US$131.00
+6.9%
8.2%US$147.43US$109.21US$115.0124
Jan ’24US$117.61
US$127.79
+8.7%
9.1%US$145.28US$102.24US$115.9524
Dec ’23US$119.26
US$127.04
+6.5%
9.3%US$144.07US$101.39US$113.8824
Nov ’23US$107.71
US$119.34
+10.8%
9.4%US$134.98US$94.99US$109.3525

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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