Kirin Holdings Company, Limited

OTCPK:KNBW.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$11.1b

Kirin Holdings Company Valuation

Is KNBW.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KNBW.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KNBW.F ($13.11) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($20.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KNBW.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KNBW.F?

Key metric: As KNBW.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KNBW.F. This is calculated by dividing KNBW.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KNBW.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16x
EarningsJP¥108.05b
Market CapJP¥1.71t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KNBW.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KNBW.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.5x
TAP Molson Coors Beverage
13.3x3.3%US$12.5b
SAM Boston Beer Company
44.2x19.4%US$3.5b
COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated
20.8xn/aUS$10.9b
KOF Coca-Cola FEMSA. de
15.6x12.1%US$16.4b
KNBW.F Kirin Holdings Company
16x10.5%US$1.7t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KNBW.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the peer average (23.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KNBW.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
KNBW.F 16.0xIndustry Avg. 17.7xNo. of Companies4PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KNBW.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the Global Beverage industry average (17.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KNBW.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KNBW.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate KNBW.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KNBW.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$14.79
0%
5.9%US$16.85US$13.61n/a11
Nov ’25n/a
US$15.26
0%
5.9%US$17.39US$14.04n/a11
Oct ’25n/a
US$15.93
0%
6.0%US$18.19US$14.69n/a11
Sep ’25n/a
US$15.52
0%
6.7%US$17.78US$13.68n/a11
Aug ’25n/a
US$15.14
0%
6.4%US$17.36US$13.35n/a11
Jul ’25n/a
US$14.05
0%
5.8%US$16.10US$13.00n/a11
Jun ’25US$13.91
US$14.79
+6.3%
7.4%US$17.20US$13.38n/a12
May ’25n/a
US$14.85
0%
8.5%US$17.51US$13.62n/a12
Apr ’25n/a
US$15.16
0%
8.3%US$17.83US$13.87n/a12
Mar ’25n/a
US$15.49
0%
8.2%US$18.00US$14.00n/a13
Feb ’25n/a
US$15.91
0%
9.1%US$19.31US$14.23n/a13
Jan ’25n/a
US$16.46
0%
8.8%US$20.04US$14.76n/a13
Dec ’24n/a
US$15.83
0%
8.7%US$19.35US$14.26n/a14
Nov ’24n/a
US$15.49
0%
9.4%US$19.04US$13.36n/a13
Oct ’24n/a
US$15.92
0%
8.6%US$19.10US$14.07n/a11
Sep ’24US$13.98
US$16.15
+15.6%
8.5%US$19.49US$14.36n/a12
Aug ’24n/a
US$16.58
0%
7.6%US$19.70US$15.21n/a11
Jul ’24n/a
US$17.26
0%
7.9%US$20.42US$15.76n/a10
Jun ’24n/a
US$17.22
0%
8.0%US$20.53US$15.85US$13.9111
Apr ’24n/a
US$17.76
0%
7.3%US$20.71US$15.82n/a12
Mar ’24n/a
US$18.00
0%
8.4%US$21.29US$15.69n/a14
Feb ’24n/a
US$18.46
0%
8.2%US$21.90US$16.14n/a14
Jan ’24US$15.64
US$18.86
+20.6%
10.3%US$23.42US$15.86n/a15
Dec ’23US$15.80
US$18.08
+14.4%
9.6%US$22.34US$15.13n/a15
Nov ’23US$14.60
US$16.95
+16.1%
10.5%US$21.00US$14.22n/a15

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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