Hotel Chocolat Group plc

OTCPK:HCHO.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$669.7m

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Hotel Chocolat Group Valuation

Is HCHO.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HCHO.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$5.37
Fair Value
12.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
1
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: HCHO.F ($4.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($5.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HCHO.F is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HCHO.F?

Key metric: As HCHO.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for HCHO.F. This is calculated by dividing HCHO.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is HCHO.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.6x
SalesUK£204.50m
Market CapUK£526.59m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does HCHO.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for HCHO.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.6x
0.5x11.3%US$220.2m
WEST Westrock Coffee
0.8x15.9%US$647.1m
AVO Mission Produce
0.7x-6.6%US$856.7m
SENE.A Seneca Foods
0.3xn/aUS$508.3m
HCHO.F Hotel Chocolat Group
2.6x5.4%US$526.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: HCHO.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does HCHO.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Food Industry?

22 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BG Bunge Global
0.2x3.4%US$10.78b
DOLE Dole
0.2x0.9%US$1.28b
FARM Farmer Bros
0.1x4.6%US$36.30m
PME Pingtan Marine Enterprise
0.1xn/aUS$23.20m
HCHO.F 2.6xIndustry Avg. 0.8xNo. of Companies22PS00.81.62.43.24+
22 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: HCHO.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x) compared to the US Food industry average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HCHO.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HCHO.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.6x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HCHO.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 1 Analyst
US$4.69
Fair Value
0.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
1
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/01/25 05:19
End of Day Share Price 2023/12/14 00:00
Earnings2023/07/02
Annual Earnings2023/07/02

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Hotel Chocolat Group plc is covered by 3 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Robert ChantryBerenberg
Wayne BrownPanmure Liberum
Jonathan PritchardPeel Hunt LLP