B&G Foods Valuation

Is BGS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BGS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BGS ($6.54) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($9.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BGS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BGS?

Key metric: As BGS is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for BGS. This is calculated by dividing BGS's market cap by their current revenue.
What is BGS's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesUS$1.96b
Market CapUS$517.73m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BGS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BGS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.4x
SENE.A Seneca Foods
0.3xn/aUS$500.1m
CVGW Calavo Growers
0.5x-13.1%US$483.7m
OTLY Oatly Group
0.5x6.3%US$434.7m
HAIN Hain Celestial Group
0.4x1.5%US$743.2m
BGS B&G Foods
0.3x-0.05%US$517.7m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BGS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (0.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does BGS's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Food Industry?

26 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BG Bunge Global
0.2x3.5%US$12.24b
DOLE Dole
0.2x0.7%US$1.46b
FARM Farmer Bros
0.1x4.6%US$44.66m
BHIL Benson Hill
0.05xn/aUS$23.84m
BGS 0.3xIndustry Avg. 0.9xNo. of Companies26PS012345+
26 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BGS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the US Food industry average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BGS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BGS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BGS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BGS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$6.54
US$8.21
+25.6%
9.1%US$9.00US$7.00n/a7
Nov ’25US$8.62
US$8.86
+2.8%
9.4%US$10.00US$8.00n/a7
Oct ’25US$8.91
US$8.86
-0.6%
9.4%US$10.00US$8.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$8.47
US$8.86
+4.6%
9.4%US$10.00US$8.00n/a7
Aug ’25US$8.60
US$8.86
+3.0%
9.4%US$10.00US$8.00n/a7
Jul ’25US$7.95
US$9.71
+22.2%
13.2%US$12.00US$8.00n/a7
Jun ’25US$9.54
US$9.86
+3.3%
12.6%US$12.00US$8.00n/a7
May ’25US$11.08
US$10.14
-8.5%
12.3%US$12.00US$8.00n/a7
Apr ’25US$11.29
US$10.14
-10.2%
12.3%US$12.00US$8.00n/a7
Mar ’25US$11.91
US$10.14
-14.8%
12.3%US$12.00US$8.00n/a7
Feb ’25US$10.44
US$9.57
-8.3%
18.4%US$12.00US$7.00n/a7
Jan ’25US$10.50
US$9.57
-8.8%
18.4%US$12.00US$7.00n/a7
Dec ’24US$9.51
US$10.00
+5.2%
23.3%US$14.00US$7.00n/a7
Nov ’24US$7.97
US$10.57
+32.6%
21.4%US$14.00US$7.00US$8.627
Oct ’24US$9.89
US$13.50
+36.5%
16.2%US$16.00US$9.50US$8.917
Sep ’24US$12.44
US$14.50
+16.6%
6.6%US$16.00US$13.00US$8.476
Aug ’24US$12.96
US$14.67
+13.2%
9.4%US$16.00US$12.00US$8.606
Jul ’24US$13.92
US$15.00
+7.8%
9.4%US$16.00US$12.00US$7.956
Jun ’24US$12.95
US$15.17
+17.1%
7.0%US$16.00US$13.00US$9.546
May ’24US$16.39
US$14.33
-12.5%
7.7%US$16.00US$13.00US$11.086
Apr ’24US$15.53
US$13.79
-11.2%
11.6%US$16.00US$11.00US$11.297
Mar ’24US$16.28
US$13.36
-18.0%
14.0%US$16.00US$11.00US$11.917
Feb ’24US$14.51
US$12.64
-12.9%
16.2%US$16.00US$9.00US$10.447
Jan ’24US$11.15
US$12.81
+14.9%
15.4%US$16.00US$9.00US$10.508
Dec ’23US$12.33
US$13.94
+13.0%
21.1%US$20.00US$9.00US$9.518
Nov ’23US$16.20
US$18.94
+16.9%
18.9%US$24.00US$14.50US$7.978

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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