Bunge Global SA

NYSE:BG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$12.5b

Bunge Global Valuation

Is BG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BG ($88.08) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($120.55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BG?

Key metric: As BG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BG. This is calculated by dividing BG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.7x
EarningsUS$1.15b
Market CapUS$12.50b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.8x
INGR Ingredion
13.6x0.5%US$9.3b
ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland
14.2x4.0%US$25.4b
DAR Darling Ingredients
25.4x29.9%US$6.6b
FDP Fresh Del Monte Produce
106.1x71.9%US$1.6b
BG Bunge Global
10.7x17.2%US$12.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x) compared to the peer average (39.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Food Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GCEH Global Clean Energy Holdings
2.1xn/aUS$43.91m
SEED Origin Agritech
1.9xn/aUS$15.55m
FAMI Farmmi
1.9xn/aUS$2.74m
IDBH.F Industrias Bachoco. de
0.0002xn/aUS$59.94k
BG 10.7xIndustry Avg. 19.3xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x) compared to the US Food industry average (19.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.7x
Fair PE Ratio26.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$88.08
US$107.63
+22.2%
7.9%US$116.00US$90.00n/a10
Nov ’25US$82.62
US$108.93
+31.8%
10.2%US$129.00US$90.00n/a9
Oct ’25US$97.68
US$114.86
+17.6%
9.3%US$129.00US$90.00n/a10
Sep ’25US$101.38
US$115.70
+14.1%
9.4%US$129.00US$90.00n/a10
Aug ’25US$103.07
US$116.59
+13.1%
9.5%US$129.00US$90.00n/a10
Jul ’25US$107.32
US$117.49
+9.5%
9.5%US$129.00US$90.00n/a10
Jun ’25US$107.59
US$116.24
+8.0%
9.3%US$129.00US$90.00n/a12
May ’25US$100.95
US$116.99
+15.9%
10.7%US$136.93US$90.00n/a11
Apr ’25US$102.29
US$113.99
+11.4%
12.7%US$136.93US$90.00n/a11
Mar ’25US$93.11
US$115.99
+24.6%
13.2%US$138.00US$90.00n/a12
Feb ’25US$90.40
US$125.66
+39.0%
14.9%US$161.00US$90.00n/a12
Jan ’25US$100.95
US$135.33
+34.1%
10.0%US$161.00US$114.00n/a12
Dec ’24US$109.21
US$136.09
+24.6%
10.3%US$161.00US$114.00n/a11
Nov ’24US$106.06
US$136.09
+28.3%
10.3%US$161.00US$114.00US$82.6211
Oct ’24US$108.25
US$136.45
+26.1%
10.7%US$165.00US$114.00US$97.6811
Sep ’24US$115.02
US$137.90
+19.9%
10.5%US$165.00US$114.00US$101.3810
Aug ’24US$108.42
US$126.70
+16.9%
12.2%US$161.00US$105.00US$103.0710
Jul ’24US$94.35
US$126.55
+34.1%
12.0%US$161.00US$105.00US$107.3211
Jun ’24US$91.02
US$124.18
+36.4%
11.7%US$161.00US$105.00US$107.5911
May ’24US$92.54
US$125.27
+35.4%
11.4%US$161.00US$105.00US$100.9511
Apr ’24US$95.52
US$128.90
+34.9%
9.6%US$162.00US$115.00US$102.2910
Mar ’24US$95.17
US$128.55
+35.1%
9.2%US$162.00US$115.00US$93.1111
Feb ’24US$100.12
US$129.73
+29.6%
9.1%US$165.00US$119.00US$90.4011
Jan ’24US$99.77
US$126.69
+27.0%
14.2%US$165.00US$80.00US$100.9513
Dec ’23US$98.94
US$126.17
+27.5%
14.8%US$165.00US$80.00US$109.2112
Nov ’23US$99.77
US$126.17
+26.5%
14.8%US$165.00US$80.00US$106.0612

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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