Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. de C.V.

OTCPK:GRBM.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$12.9b

Grupo Bimbo. de Valuation

Is GRBM.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GRBM.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GRBM.F ($3.05) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($10.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GRBM.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GRBM.F?

Key metric: As GRBM.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GRBM.F. This is calculated by dividing GRBM.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GRBM.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.8x
EarningsMex$12.68b
Market CapMex$263.74b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GRBM.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GRBM.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.7x
CPB Campbell's
23.8x15.0%US$13.5b
PPC Pilgrim's Pride
12.4x-11.8%US$12.3b
CAG Conagra Brands
26.5x15.5%US$13.1b
SJM J. M. Smucker
16.2x9.6%US$12.1b
GRBM.F Grupo Bimbo. de
20.8x20.7%US$263.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GRBM.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x) compared to the peer average (19.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GRBM.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Food Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GCEH Global Clean Energy Holdings
0.3xn/aUS$45.16m
SEED Origin Agritech
1.9xn/aUS$15.46m
FAMI Farmmi
1.8xn/aUS$2.89m
IDBH.F Industrias Bachoco. de
0.0002xn/aUS$59.94k
GRBM.F 20.8xIndustry Avg. 19.6xNo. of Companies6PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GRBM.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x) compared to the US Food industry average (19.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GRBM.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GRBM.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GRBM.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GRBM.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$3.05
US$3.73
+22.3%
12.0%US$4.69US$2.98n/a13
Nov ’25US$3.10
US$3.79
+22.2%
12.0%US$4.76US$3.02n/a13
Oct ’25US$3.57
US$4.15
+16.3%
11.4%US$5.15US$3.49n/a12
Sep ’25US$3.37
US$4.15
+23.2%
11.4%US$5.15US$3.49n/a12
Aug ’25US$3.77
US$4.15
+10.2%
11.4%US$5.15US$3.49n/a12
Jul ’25US$3.53
US$4.26
+20.6%
11.1%US$5.25US$3.55n/a11
Jun ’25US$3.93
US$4.85
+23.5%
9.6%US$5.66US$3.83n/a12
May ’25US$4.15
US$5.02
+21.0%
12.6%US$6.46US$3.82n/a12
Apr ’25US$4.54
US$5.31
+16.8%
9.4%US$6.55US$4.70n/a12
Mar ’25US$4.44
US$5.21
+17.5%
9.5%US$6.43US$4.44n/a12
Feb ’25US$4.63
US$5.40
+16.8%
10.4%US$6.39US$4.41n/a12
Jan ’25US$4.93
US$5.42
+9.9%
8.9%US$6.30US$4.69n/a12
Dec ’24US$5.54
US$5.53
-0.3%
9.0%US$6.40US$4.77n/a11
Nov ’24US$3.90
US$5.47
+40.4%
11.6%US$6.68US$4.60US$3.1011
Oct ’24US$4.80
US$5.78
+20.4%
10.6%US$6.78US$4.78US$3.5710
Sep ’24US$5.00
US$5.91
+18.3%
11.1%US$7.11US$4.94US$3.3711
Aug ’24US$4.98
US$5.95
+19.5%
11.0%US$7.18US$4.99US$3.7711
Jul ’24US$5.60
US$5.65
+0.8%
12.7%US$7.33US$4.92US$3.5311
Jun ’24US$5.25
US$5.39
+2.8%
9.1%US$6.15US$4.79US$3.9312
May ’24US$5.46
US$5.07
-7.1%
9.1%US$6.01US$4.34US$4.1512
Apr ’24US$5.00
US$4.88
-2.3%
6.6%US$5.60US$4.28US$4.5412
Mar ’24US$5.19
US$4.68
-9.8%
10.7%US$5.57US$3.85US$4.4412
Feb ’24US$4.95
US$4.59
-7.3%
13.1%US$5.68US$3.75US$4.6312
Jan ’24n/a
US$4.26
0%
11.0%US$4.93US$3.49US$4.9312
Dec ’23US$4.00
US$4.00
-0.06%
10.5%US$4.82US$3.37US$5.5412
Nov ’23US$4.20
US$3.86
-8.1%
9.9%US$4.44US$3.28US$3.9012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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