Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. de C.V.

OTCPK:GRBM.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$18.1b

Grupo Bimbo. de Valuation

Is GRBM.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GRBM.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GRBM.F ($4.05) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($8.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GRBM.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GRBM.F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GRBM.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.6x
PEG Ratio1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GRBM.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GRBM.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.4x
HRL Hormel Foods
24.2x8.8%US$19.3b
MKC McCormick
28.4x7.6%US$20.1b
CAG Conagra Brands
15.4x8.1%US$14.6b
K Kellanova
25.5x13.1%US$20.7b
GRBM.F Grupo Bimbo. de
22.3x18.7%US$306.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GRBM.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x) compared to the peer average (23.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GRBM.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.1%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.1%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GRBM.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x) compared to the US Food industry average (15.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GRBM.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GRBM.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.3x
Fair PE Ratio36.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GRBM.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GRBM.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$4.05
US$4.89
+20.7%
9.4%US$5.66US$3.83n/a12
Apr ’25US$4.54
US$5.31
+16.8%
9.4%US$6.55US$4.70n/a12
Mar ’25US$4.44
US$5.21
+17.5%
9.5%US$6.43US$4.44n/a12
Feb ’25US$4.63
US$5.40
+16.8%
10.4%US$6.39US$4.41n/a12
Jan ’25US$4.93
US$5.42
+9.9%
8.9%US$6.30US$4.69n/a12
Dec ’24US$5.54
US$5.53
-0.3%
9.0%US$6.40US$4.77n/a11
Nov ’24US$3.90
US$5.47
+40.4%
11.6%US$6.68US$4.60n/a11
Oct ’24US$4.80
US$5.78
+20.4%
10.6%US$6.78US$4.78n/a10
Sep ’24US$5.00
US$5.91
+18.3%
11.1%US$7.11US$4.94n/a11
Aug ’24US$4.98
US$5.95
+19.5%
11.0%US$7.18US$4.99n/a11
Jul ’24US$5.60
US$5.65
+0.8%
12.7%US$7.33US$4.92n/a11
Jun ’24US$5.25
US$5.39
+2.8%
9.1%US$6.15US$4.79n/a12
May ’24US$5.46
US$5.07
-7.1%
9.1%US$6.01US$4.34US$4.1512
Apr ’24US$5.00
US$4.88
-2.3%
6.6%US$5.60US$4.28US$4.5412
Mar ’24US$5.19
US$4.68
-9.8%
10.7%US$5.57US$3.85US$4.4412
Feb ’24US$4.95
US$4.59
-7.3%
13.1%US$5.68US$3.75US$4.6312
Jan ’24n/a
US$4.26
0%
11.0%US$4.93US$3.49US$4.9312
Dec ’23US$4.00
US$4.00
-0.06%
10.5%US$4.82US$3.37US$5.5412
Nov ’23US$4.20
US$3.86
-8.1%
9.9%US$4.44US$3.28US$3.9012
Oct ’23US$3.60
US$3.76
+4.5%
10.0%US$4.37US$3.23US$4.8012
Sep ’23US$3.30
US$3.75
+13.5%
10.1%US$4.37US$3.18US$5.0012
Aug ’23US$3.63
US$3.41
-5.9%
15.7%US$4.28US$2.34US$4.9812
Jul ’23US$3.25
US$3.28
+0.9%
12.2%US$3.95US$2.37US$5.6012
Jun ’23US$3.25
US$3.29
+1.3%
12.1%US$3.95US$2.37US$5.2512
May ’23US$3.00
US$3.26
+8.7%
12.2%US$3.92US$2.35US$5.4612

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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