The J. M. Smucker Company

NYSE:SJM Stock Report

Market Cap: US$11.7b

J. M. Smucker Valuation

Is SJM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SJM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SJM ($108.97) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($378.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SJM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SJM?

Key metric: As SJM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SJM. This is calculated by dividing SJM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SJM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22x
EarningsUS$526.00m
Market CapUS$11.73b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SJM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SJM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.3x
PPC Pilgrim's Pride
11.4x-11.8%US$11.4b
CAG Conagra Brands
25.9x17.6%US$13.1b
CPB Campbell's
22.5x14.3%US$12.4b
HRL Hormel Foods
21.5x7.6%US$17.5b
SJM J. M. Smucker
22x20.0%US$11.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SJM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x) compared to the peer average (20.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SJM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Food Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GCEH Global Clean Energy Holdings
0.3xn/aUS$46.34m
ORIS Oriental Rise Holdings
2.8xn/aUS$30.16m
SEED Origin Agritech
1.7xn/aUS$13.34m
IDBH.F Industrias Bachoco. de
0.02xn/aUS$9.65m
SJM 22.0xIndustry Avg. 19.3xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SJM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x) compared to the US Food industry average (19.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SJM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SJM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22x
Fair PE Ratio27.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SJM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SJM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$108.97
US$127.26
+16.8%
4.4%US$137.00US$117.00n/a15
Dec ’25US$117.79
US$128.19
+8.8%
3.9%US$137.00US$118.00n/a15
Nov ’25US$112.92
US$124.43
+10.2%
4.6%US$136.00US$112.00n/a16
Oct ’25US$121.21
US$125.30
+3.4%
5.1%US$136.00US$112.00n/a16
Sep ’25US$114.68
US$125.43
+9.4%
5.4%US$136.00US$112.00n/a16
Aug ’25US$119.99
US$126.99
+5.8%
6.1%US$140.00US$114.00n/a16
Jul ’25US$110.51
US$127.43
+15.3%
6.0%US$140.00US$114.00n/a16
Jun ’25US$111.64
US$129.98
+16.4%
5.5%US$140.00US$114.00n/a17
May ’25US$113.60
US$131.96
+16.2%
6.1%US$152.00US$114.00n/a18
Apr ’25US$124.73
US$133.02
+6.6%
7.3%US$152.00US$114.00n/a18
Mar ’25US$122.54
US$133.33
+8.8%
7.5%US$152.00US$114.00n/a17
Feb ’25US$133.74
US$131.09
-2.0%
8.8%US$153.00US$108.00n/a17
Jan ’25US$126.38
US$127.60
+1.0%
7.7%US$140.00US$108.00n/a15
Dec ’24US$111.42
US$126.17
+13.2%
6.8%US$140.00US$109.00US$117.7912
Nov ’24US$112.99
US$134.46
+19.0%
8.8%US$158.00US$109.00US$112.9213
Oct ’24US$122.91
US$141.00
+14.7%
7.3%US$160.00US$123.00US$121.2113
Sep ’24US$142.49
US$150.77
+5.8%
6.7%US$170.00US$131.00US$114.6813
Aug ’24US$149.67
US$150.71
+0.7%
7.5%US$170.00US$129.00US$119.9914
Jul ’24US$147.67
US$151.07
+2.3%
7.1%US$170.00US$135.00US$110.5114
Jun ’24US$144.90
US$152.57
+5.3%
8.8%US$170.00US$128.00US$111.6414
May ’24US$157.04
US$152.62
-2.8%
9.2%US$170.00US$128.00US$113.6013
Apr ’24US$157.37
US$152.36
-3.2%
9.2%US$170.00US$128.00US$124.7311
Mar ’24US$145.25
US$151.58
+4.4%
9.3%US$170.00US$128.00US$122.5412
Feb ’24US$152.08
US$150.64
-0.9%
9.9%US$170.00US$123.00US$133.7414
Jan ’24US$158.46
US$150.14
-5.2%
9.8%US$170.00US$123.00US$126.3814
Dec ’23US$153.94
US$143.77
-6.6%
8.4%US$162.00US$123.00US$111.4213

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 22:54
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/10/31
Annual Earnings2024/04/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

The J. M. Smucker Company is covered by 35 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Andrew LazarBarclays