Arca Continental, S.A.B. de C.V.

OTCPK:EMBV.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$14.7b

Arca Continental. de Valuation

Is EMBV.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EMBV.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EMBV.F ($8.41) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($15.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EMBV.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EMBV.F?

Key metric: As EMBV.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EMBV.F. This is calculated by dividing EMBV.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EMBV.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.7x
EarningsMex$18.84b
Market CapMex$295.91b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EMBV.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EMBV.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.6x
KOF Coca-Cola FEMSA. de
15.3x12.1%US$16.4b
COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated
20.2xn/aUS$10.6b
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper
18.8x6.1%US$42.4b
FIZZ National Beverage
24.1xn/aUS$4.4b
EMBV.F Arca Continental. de
15.7x8.0%US$295.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EMBV.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.7x) compared to the peer average (19.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EMBV.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EMBV.F 15.7xIndustry Avg. 17.9xNo. of Companies3PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EMBV.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.7x) compared to the Global Beverage industry average (17.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EMBV.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EMBV.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.7x
Fair PE Ratio23x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EMBV.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EMBV.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$8.41
US$10.49
+24.8%
7.1%US$11.86US$8.99n/a17
Nov ’25US$8.54
US$10.29
+20.5%
10.1%US$11.90US$7.19n/a18
Oct ’25US$9.64
US$10.73
+11.4%
10.2%US$12.28US$7.58n/a17
Sep ’25US$8.83
US$10.59
+19.9%
10.3%US$12.10US$7.47n/a17
Aug ’25US$9.80
US$11.01
+12.4%
10.3%US$12.61US$7.78n/a17
Jul ’25US$9.71
US$11.14
+14.7%
10.1%US$13.24US$8.00n/a18
Jun ’25US$10.37
US$11.87
+14.5%
10.2%US$14.25US$8.61n/a19
May ’25US$9.88
US$11.65
+17.9%
10.1%US$14.00US$8.46n/a19
Apr ’25US$10.92
US$12.12
+11.0%
10.4%US$14.44US$8.72n/a19
Mar ’25US$10.85
US$11.77
+8.5%
10.7%US$14.09US$8.51n/a19
Feb ’25US$11.81
US$11.43
-3.2%
10.0%US$13.40US$8.45n/a19
Jan ’25US$10.64
US$11.13
+4.6%
9.8%US$13.16US$8.30n/a19
Dec ’24US$10.13
US$11.39
+12.5%
10.0%US$13.37US$8.43n/a17
Nov ’24US$8.68
US$11.06
+27.4%
9.6%US$13.14US$8.14US$8.5416
Oct ’24US$9.23
US$11.19
+21.2%
10.7%US$13.33US$8.26US$9.6416
Sep ’24US$9.62
US$11.53
+19.8%
10.6%US$13.76US$8.53US$8.8317
Aug ’24US$9.69
US$11.53
+19.0%
10.5%US$13.84US$8.58US$9.8017
Jul ’24US$10.16
US$10.98
+8.1%
9.6%US$13.67US$8.47US$9.7117
Jun ’24US$9.87
US$10.43
+5.7%
7.2%US$11.29US$8.23US$10.3717
May ’24US$9.50
US$10.06
+5.8%
6.8%US$10.92US$8.04US$9.8817
Apr ’24US$8.73
US$9.95
+13.9%
6.9%US$10.89US$8.01US$10.9217
Mar ’24n/a
US$9.57
0%
8.9%US$10.77US$7.65US$10.8517
Feb ’24US$8.35
US$9.05
+8.4%
10.2%US$10.50US$7.46US$11.8117
Jan ’24US$8.03
US$8.42
+4.9%
10.5%US$9.69US$7.07US$10.6418
Dec ’23US$8.31
US$8.50
+2.2%
10.1%US$9.88US$7.20US$10.1318
Nov ’23US$8.26
US$8.18
-1.0%
8.9%US$9.59US$7.07US$8.6818

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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