Andrew Peller Limited

OTCPK:ADWP.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$129.4m

Andrew Peller Valuation

Is ADWP.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ADWP.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ADWP.F ($2.85) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($6.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ADWP.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADWP.F?

Key metric: As ADWP.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ADWP.F. This is calculated by dividing ADWP.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ADWP.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.4x
SalesCA$393.90m
Market CapCA$180.87m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ADWP.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ADWP.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.2x
CWGL Crimson Wine Group
1.9xn/aUS$135.6m
CASK Heritage Distilling Holding Company
2.2xn/aUS$17.5m
MDWK MDWerks
11.4xn/aUS$24.2m
MGPI MGP Ingredients
1.4x-7.6%US$998.9m
ADWP.F Andrew Peller
0.4x-0.6%US$180.9m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ADWP.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (4.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ADWP.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Beverage Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EAST Eastside Distilling
0.3xn/aUS$3.07m
WTER Alkaline Water
0.01xn/aUS$772.77k
CIRX CirTran
0.08xn/aUS$98.91k
VWES.Q Vintage Wine Estates
0.0003xn/aUS$80.32k
ADWP.F 0.4xIndustry Avg. 2.9xNo. of Companies7PS01.63.24.86.48+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ADWP.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the US Beverage industry average (2.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ADWP.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ADWP.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ADWP.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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