Stock Analysis

TreeHouse Foods, Inc.'s (NYSE:THS) Shares Not Telling The Full Story

NYSE:THS
Source: Shutterstock

It's not a stretch to say that TreeHouse Foods, Inc.'s (NYSE:THS) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Food industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for TreeHouse Foods

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:THS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 16th 2024

What Does TreeHouse Foods' Recent Performance Look Like?

TreeHouse Foods could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think TreeHouse Foods' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like TreeHouse Foods' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 1.9%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 6.0% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 5.5% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 3.1% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that TreeHouse Foods' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that TreeHouse Foods currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for TreeHouse Foods with six simple checks.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on TreeHouse Foods, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if TreeHouse Foods might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.