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Here's Why We Think Post Holdings (NYSE:POST) Might Deserve Your Attention Today
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can manage to find investors. Unfortunately, these high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson. A loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the inflow of external capital may dry up.
In contrast to all that, many investors prefer to focus on companies like Post Holdings (NYSE:POST), which has not only revenues, but also profits. Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide Post Holdings with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.
View our latest analysis for Post Holdings
How Fast Is Post Holdings Growing Its Earnings Per Share?
Post Holdings has undergone a massive growth in earnings per share over the last three years. So much so that this three year growth rate wouldn't be a fair assessment of the company's future. Thus, it makes sense to focus on more recent growth rates, instead. Post Holdings boosted its trailing twelve month EPS from US$5.21 to US$6.30, in the last year. This amounts to a 21% gain; a figure that shareholders will be pleased to see.
Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. EBIT margins for Post Holdings remained fairly unchanged over the last year, however the company should be pleased to report its revenue growth for the period of 13% to US$7.9b. That's progress.
In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. For finer detail, click on the image.
The trick, as an investor, is to find companies that are going to perform well in the future, not just in the past. While crystal balls don't exist, you can check our visualization of consensus analyst forecasts for Post Holdings' future EPS 100% free.
Are Post Holdings Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?
We would not expect to see insiders owning a large percentage of a US$6.3b company like Post Holdings. But we are reassured by the fact they have invested in the company. Notably, they have an enviable stake in the company, worth US$696m. Holders should find this level of insider commitment quite encouraging, since it would ensure that the leaders of the company would also experience their success, or failure, with the stock.
Is Post Holdings Worth Keeping An Eye On?
One important encouraging feature of Post Holdings is that it is growing profits. For those who are looking for a little more than this, the high level of insider ownership enhances our enthusiasm for this growth. That combination is very appealing. So yes, we do think the stock is worth keeping an eye on. It is worth noting though that we have found 2 warning signs for Post Holdings (1 can't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.
While opting for stocks without growing earnings and absent insider buying can yield results, for investors valuing these key metrics, here is a carefully selected list of companies in the US with promising growth potential and insider confidence.
Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:POST
Post Holdings
Operates as a consumer packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally.