Stock Analysis

Altria Group's (NYSE:MO) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

NYSE:MO
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Altria Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:MO) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 10th of October to $0.98, with investors receiving 4.3% more than last year's $0.94. This makes the dividend yield 8.6%, which is above the industry average.

Check out our latest analysis for Altria Group

Altria Group's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Based on the last payment, Altria Group's profits didn't cover the dividend, but the company was generating enough cash instead. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 47.3%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 73%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.

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NYSE:MO Historic Dividend August 28th 2023

Altria Group Has A Solid Track Record

The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. Since 2013, the dividend has gone from $1.76 total annually to $3.76. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.9% a year over that time. The dividend has been growing very nicely for a number of years, and has given its shareholders some nice income in their portfolios.

Dividend Growth Is Doubtful

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. Let's not jump to conclusions as things might not be as good as they appear on the surface. In the last five years, Altria Group's earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 7.2% per annum. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits. Earnings are predicted to grow over the next year, but we would remain cautious until a track record of earnings growth is established.

Our Thoughts On Altria Group's Dividend

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Altria Group's payments are rock solid. The company has been bring in plenty of cash to cover the dividend, but we don't necessarily think that makes it a great dividend stock. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for Altria Group that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is Altria Group not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.