Coca-Cola Valuation

Is KO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KO ($62.99) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($92.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KO?

Key metric: As KO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KO. This is calculated by dividing KO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.1x
EarningsUS$10.41b
Market CapUS$269.63b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.5x
PEP PepsiCo
23.3x9.1%US$215.0b
MNST Monster Beverage
32.5x11.5%US$52.3b
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper
19.1x6.1%US$42.8b
KOF Coca-Cola FEMSA. de
15.3x12.1%US$16.5b
KO Coca-Cola
26.1x8.4%US$269.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.1x) compared to the peer average (22.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
KO 26.1xIndustry Avg. 17.9xNo. of Companies3PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.1x) compared to the Global Beverage industry average (17.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.1x
Fair PE Ratio28.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$62.99
US$74.38
+18.1%
7.3%US$85.00US$64.00n/a24
Nov ’25US$65.01
US$74.38
+14.4%
7.3%US$85.00US$64.00n/a24
Oct ’25US$71.71
US$73.09
+1.9%
7.4%US$85.00US$64.00n/a25
Sep ’25US$72.47
US$70.89
-2.2%
5.4%US$78.00US$60.00n/a25
Aug ’25US$67.96
US$70.01
+3.0%
5.4%US$78.00US$60.00n/a25
Jul ’25US$63.28
US$67.96
+7.4%
6.1%US$78.00US$60.00n/a26
Jun ’25US$62.93
US$67.09
+6.6%
5.5%US$74.00US$60.00n/a23
May ’25US$61.93
US$66.89
+8.0%
5.5%US$74.00US$60.00n/a24
Apr ’25US$60.68
US$66.10
+8.9%
5.1%US$74.00US$60.00n/a23
Mar ’25US$59.53
US$65.97
+10.8%
5.2%US$74.00US$60.00n/a23
Feb ’25US$60.98
US$65.36
+7.2%
5.5%US$74.00US$59.00n/a23
Jan ’25US$58.93
US$64.62
+9.7%
6.0%US$74.00US$59.00n/a23
Dec ’24US$58.64
US$64.14
+9.4%
6.0%US$74.00US$59.00n/a23
Nov ’24US$56.44
US$64.06
+13.5%
5.9%US$74.00US$59.00US$65.0122
Oct ’24US$55.98
US$69.34
+23.9%
6.0%US$76.00US$60.00US$71.7122
Sep ’24US$59.31
US$69.71
+17.5%
6.0%US$76.00US$58.00US$72.4723
Aug ’24US$61.77
US$69.54
+12.6%
6.0%US$76.00US$58.00US$67.9623
Jul ’24US$60.22
US$69.36
+15.2%
5.9%US$75.00US$58.00US$63.2823
Jun ’24US$60.00
US$69.55
+15.9%
6.2%US$77.00US$58.00US$62.9324
May ’24US$64.30
US$69.23
+7.7%
6.2%US$77.00US$58.00US$61.9325
Apr ’24US$62.03
US$67.68
+9.1%
6.5%US$77.00US$58.00US$60.6826
Mar ’24US$58.86
US$67.91
+15.4%
6.3%US$77.00US$58.00US$59.5325
Feb ’24US$61.33
US$67.70
+10.4%
6.5%US$77.00US$58.00US$60.9823
Jan ’24US$63.61
US$67.13
+5.5%
7.1%US$77.00US$58.00US$58.9324
Dec ’23US$63.79
US$66.60
+4.4%
7.5%US$78.00US$58.00US$58.6425
Nov ’23US$59.64
US$66.56
+11.6%
7.4%US$78.00US$58.00US$56.4425

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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