Stock Analysis

There Is A Reason Ingredion Incorporated's (NYSE:INGR) Price Is Undemanding

NYSE:INGR
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Ingredion Incorporated's (NYSE:INGR) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.3x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 18x and even P/E's above 33x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Ingredion certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Ingredion

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:INGR Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 15th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Ingredion will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Growth For Ingredion?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Ingredion's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 21%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 2,434% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 0.4% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 10% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Ingredion is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Ingredion's P/E?

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Ingredion maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Ingredion (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ingredion, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.